On the AL MVP race, Bleacher Report ranked the candidates the following last week:
Jose Altuve, 2B, Houston Astros: 11-9 (.344/.414/.555, 24 HR, 96 RBI, 30 SB, and 8.2 WAR through 148 games) Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees: 3-2 (.283/.418/.620, 50 HR, 108 RBI, 8 SB, and 7.6 WAR through 150 games)
Rest of the Field:
Corey Kluber, SP, Cleveland Indians: 11-1
Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels: 45-1
Chris Sale, SP, Boston Red Sox: 45-1
Jose Ramirez, 2B/3B, Cleveland Indians: 60-1
Francisco Lindor, SS, Cleveland Indians: 99-1
It's an interesting debate - Altuve has been one of the BA leaders this year and has more SB of the two, but Judge is leading him in HR/RBI and WRC+ despite batting horrendously in July/August. It's fundamentally small-ball vs. eye-popping power.
I think there will be some recency bias involved in that if the Yankees pull out the division somehow (3 back in the loss with 6 to play, highly unlikely but not mathematically impossible) then Judge will win the MVP, but the likelihood here is that Altuve wins MVP if/when Boston clinches and Judge takes his near-unanimous ROY award (the same BR article has Judge as 0-1 for AL ROY with no other competitors), which is still a hell of an accomplishment for your rookie year.