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Triumph

The Race For 6th Thread

342 posts in this topic

The Devils have basically clinched 6th.

I wouldn't go that far. Some very tough games remaining:

@ Pittsburgh

Chicago

@ Detroit

Ottawa

Plus the Isles and Lightning haven't been gimmes this year either. That Ottawa game could ultimately decide 6th/7th.

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If we tie with the Flyers for 5th place they would get the tie breaker since they own the ROW advantage correct?

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I wouldn't go that far. Some very tough games remaining:

@ Pittsburgh

Chicago

@ Detroit

Ottawa

Plus the Isles and Lightning haven't been gimmes this year either. That Ottawa game could ultimately decide 6th/7th.

No one is a gimme in any year anymore. Still, as the season winds closer to a close, the closer sportsclubstats's methodology gets to being correct. Right now NJ is 86% to finish 6th.

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If would be horrible if we lost to Florida in the 1st round. Absolutely horrible. I don't care about our regular season record against them, in a 7 game series we should defiantly beat them.

I don't want to play Philly or Boston. Maybe New York. I'm pretty sure a western conference team is going to win the Cup this year. From what I've seen lately only Pittsburgh would have a legit chance. You never know though. Vancouver, Nashville, St. Louis, and Detroit will most likely batter the hell out of each other.

Edited by Mayday

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Devils get a charity point, Florida gets a charity point, Ottawa loses.

Teams PTS GR

5. Flyers 94 8

6. Devils 90 7

7. Sens 84 7

The Senators are in danger of falling out of the playoffs now.

Florida blows a chance to pull even with Boston, though:

2. Bruins 87 9

3. Pnthrs 86 8

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boston better get over their jet lag quick and start winning or our 6th place race will become Irrelevant or worse

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....And, scene. Boston wins, Ottawa wins, Flyers win, all is good once again in Devil land.

Team PTS GR

5. Flyers 96 7

6. Devils 90 7

7. Sens 86 6

For the Devils to get fifth, they need 7 more points than the Flyers with 7 games remaining. So for instance:

Devils go 5-2-0, Flyers go 1-5-1.

For the Devils to get 7th, they need to have 4 fewer points than the Senators.

So if the Devils go 2-5-0, the Senators would need to go 4-2-0 or better to beat out New Jersey. This is certainly doable, but not that likely.

Race for 3rd:

2. Bruins 89 8

3. Pnthrs 86 8

Bruins have the tiebreaker, so the Panthers need 4 more points than the Bruins over the final 8 games.

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The ticket deals were sent out as an email. They are offering pay as they play plans. You sign up for a package and you are only charged for the actual games the team plays. They also give you a food card as a perk.

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The ticket deals were sent out as an email. They are offering pay as they play plans. You sign up for a package and you are only charged for the actual games the team plays. They also give you a food card as a perk.

I went for it. Got the first row of 104 and a $50 food card plus it's pay as you go and about a 15% discount. Those seats are guaranteed to be mine as far as they go this year. I'm sure if we end up playing Florida there will be better deals but I really like the seats I got and if we win the first round we're sure to have a huge draw for the second round and I won't have to worry about scrambling for tickets.

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Tonight's loss hurts. Still, Boston and Florida are doing as they're supposed to do. Boston is now 4 points up on Florida with the tiebreaker and 7 games remaining for each.

Team PTS GR

5. Flyers 96 7

6. Devils 90 6

7. Sens 86 6

SportsClubStats, which I always announce as unreliable, has New Jersey at 86% to finish 6th. A win in their next game would increase those odds considerably.

Race for 3rd:

2. Bruins 91 7

3. Pnthrs 87 7

Boston basically has the tiebreaker for sure, so the Panthers will need 5 more points than the Bruins to eclipse them. Not bloody likely. SportsClub has them at 3% to finish in 2nd, but that's because they think that Boston is way better than they actually are, because it goes by goal differential. Still, I'd feel comfortable saying there is a less than 10% chance of that happening.

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This was a fun thread and all, and maybe things will work out in the end, but right now the Devils just need to take of their own business. Starts with 2 points tomorrow that they really need.

Edit: Had a fact wrong about Ottawa winning out.

Edited by devilsrule33

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Well Ottawa is just 2 points out of 6th now.

Guess that 6th spot isn't exactly a lock now, is it?

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Well Ottawa is just 2 points out of 6th now.

Guess that 6th spot isn't exactly a lock now, is it?

Care to wager on that? I'll bet at even money.

Win tomorrow and the Devils are up 4 points with 5 games left to play - not impossible to blow that lead, but it's not easy, either.

Edited by Triumph
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Well Ottawa is just 2 points out of 6th now.

Guess that 6th spot isn't exactly a lock now, is it?

I can't bring myself to fully worry about it unless Ottawa actually catches the Devils. But yeah, I can understand why some are beginning to be concerned about it now. Tonight's a big night...being up four or even three feels a lot better than two.

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Tonight's game is very important. They need to take care of business. Enough.

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We need to play well tonight, regardless of the outcome. The games we really need to win are the next three against TB, CAR, NYI

Then hopefully the final 2 against DET & OTT will hopefully be meaningless

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We need to play well tonight, regardless of the outcome. The games we really need to win are the next three against TB, CAR, NYI

Then hopefully the final 2 against DET & OTT will hopefully be meaningless

The big goal for now should be to render that Ottawa game meaningless. Winning tonight would help a hell of a lot.

Of course, no guarantees that Ottawa keeps winning. It's easy to assume that they're just going to win out the season, but like the Devils, they too have their flaws.

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The Devils and Ottawa face off in the last game of the year. So even if the Devils are up 2 points going into the game, it can be a winner-take-all game if decided in regulation.

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The Devils and Ottawa face off in the last game of the year. So even if the Devils are up 2 points going into the game, it can be a winner-take-all game if decided in regulation.

As much as I would prefer to be locked into 6 before the last game, I have to admit that would be a lot better than that joke Devils-Sabres game two years ago where neither team wound up happy about their position. Or Devils-Rangers where getting home ice only meant they got to finish us off here. Both teams would definitely try, and have a reason to win this last game.

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The Devils and Ottawa face off in the last game of the year. So even if the Devils are up 2 points going into the game, it can be a winner-take-all game if decided in regulation.

That's why I hope they can make that one meaningless...if they lose tonight, they'll still have 6th seed destiny in their own hands (both teams win out before the final game, Devils are still up by two) but I really don't want it coming down to that final game.

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Care to wager on that? I'll bet at even money.

Win tomorrow and the Devils are up 4 points with 5 games left to play - not impossible to blow that lead, but it's not easy, either.

I'll take that bet, Tri. I just see it boiling down to the finale vs. Ottawa. And Ottawa will have the tiebreaker.

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Wow, Ottawa doesn't play again until Saturday. If the Devils come up with two more points on Thursday, at least that puts some pressure on Ottawa, if they have their eyes on sixth.

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Okay, great night for the Devils.

Team PTS GR

5. Flyers 96 6

6. Devils 92 5

7. Sens 88 5

Senators are now 4 back with 5 remaining. I made a little chart that just shows what would have to happen to make the final game meaningful to the Senators:

fNH5B.jpg

There are obviously scenarios where the Senators can make the game meaningless for the Devils, but it involves the Devils getting 6 fewer points than the Sens in the next 4 games.

The race for 2nd:

2. Bruins 93 6

3. Pnthrs 89 6

Bruins have the tiebreaker, so again, it would take the Panthers getting 5 more points than the Bruins in the final 6. That's going to be difficult for them. Panthers also have a 5 point lead on the Capitals.

Edited by Triumph

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the way this team has been playing lately getting the Florida in the first round would be a gift. nothing against Florida but I do not see us beating any other team to be honest.

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If Marty gets hot we can beat anyone...

If we escape Round 1 things will be very interesting...

Hopefully we start scoring more than 1 goal/game...No shootouts in the postseason boys!

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