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The Quest for 91

218 posts in this topic

Watch us somehow miss it by a point.

 

After a shootout loss.

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I cant see us getting the wins we need to have a shot.

 

I think we likely go 5-3-2 the rest of the season if we are lucky.

 

Since i said this in another thread we have gone 1-0-3.

 

 

We need 4 wins to even get close to a mediocre record to end the season.

 

In the last six games i can see this.

 

1) Washington - Loss

 

2) Carolina - Win

 

3) Calgary-Loss

 

4) Ottawa-OT

 

5) Islanders-Win

 

6) Boston- Win

 

 

That gives us 4-2-4 over the last 10 games of the season since my prediction.

 

 

I see us finishing on about 87 points. This basically means we need Detroit, Columbus Toronto and Washington to go winless for the rest of the season for us to make it.

 

 

It’s just not happening. The Devils needed two of those OT losses to be W's in the last four games to make it, and needed considerable support. They got the support but couldn’t hold up their end of the deal.

Edited by Chimaira_Devil_#9

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In the last six games i can see this.

 

1) Washington - Loss

 

2) Carolina - Win

 

3) Calgary-Loss

 

4) Ottawa-OT

 

5) Islanders-Win

 

6) Boston- Win

 

 

 I think it'll be:

1) Wsh - Win

2) Car - Loss

3) Cgy - Win

4) Ott - OT Loss

5) Islanders - Win

6) Boston - Win

 

And it probably won't matter that we win the last two games of the year because we won't get the help we need and Detroit/Columbus will probably only lose 2 or maybe 3 games at most the rest of the way, and we really need them to lose 4 or 5.

 

6-0-0: 91.4%

5-0-1: 74.8%

5-1-0: 56.9%

4-0-2: 52.5%

I assume, since it's 1 fewer point, that a 4-1-1 record would be right around 50% or maybe just below.  That's actually how I think we'll finish the year, and I have a feeling we will miss the playoffs by 1 or 2 points.

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Devils playoff chances: 0.00000%

 

Chances with the following record:

 

3-0-0: 0.00%

2-1-0: 0.00%

2-0-1: 0.00%

1-1-1: 0.00%

1-0-2: 0.00%

1-2-0: 0.00%

0-2-1: 0.00%

0-1-2: 0.00%

0-0-3: 0.00%

 

Reading back through this thread was amusing. Also i notice MB hasn’t posted in two days. Probably sat there crying into a half full glass.

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CD#9, that was pretty damned funny.  Thanks for a needed laugh. 

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Oh well... I STILL wish we had sold off some vets. Zidlicky especially. He did little besides turn the puck over in this stretch run, unless I'm remembering things incorrectly.

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Oh well... I STILL wish we had sold off some vets. Zidlicky especially. He did little besides turn the puck over in this stretch run, unless I'm remembering things incorrectly.

 

yeah, but there was a playoff chance, so again Lou bet on the season. I'm ok with it. we still have some parts which can be moved (albeit, a bit more devalued now)

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The worst part about the existence of this thread and all the energy put into it is that most of us were pretty clear from the start that we didn't buy that 91 points would cut it.

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Devils playoff chances: 0.00000%

 

Chances with the following record:

 

3-0-0: 0.00%

2-1-0: 0.00%

2-0-1: 0.00%

1-1-1: 0.00%

1-0-2: 0.00%

1-2-0: 0.00%

0-2-1: 0.00%

0-1-2: 0.00%

0-0-3: 0.00%

 

Reading back through this thread was amusing. Also i notice MB hasn’t posted in two days. Probably sat there crying into a half full glass.

 

Clearly we have a realistic chance at the playoffs.

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Clearly we have a realistic chance at the playoffs.

 

2 of the next 3 teams we play are very beatable.

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The worst part about the existence of this thread and all the energy put into it is that most of us were pretty clear from the start that we didn't buy that 91 points would cut it.

That's what was hilarious, MB was sooooo adamant that there's no way eight teams get to 92 when it's happened almost every year since the lockout, and that was BEFORE adding Detroit and Columbus.

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2 of the next 3 teams we play are very beatable.

 

That's 2-0-1 right there!

Edited by DevsMan84

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wow i havent seen mike brown around these parts to tell us our chances lately..oh wait.

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Furthermore, we also all stated how the Devils had given us no reason to expect they would turn it around. Even though they had a decent point streak, they still failed to win 3 straight games down the stretch.

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Since i said this in another thread we have gone 1-0-3.

 

 

We need 4 wins to even get close to a mediocre record to end the season.

 

In the last six games i can see this.

 

1) Washington - Loss (Win)

 

2) Carolina - Win (Win)

 

3) Calgary-Loss (loss)

 

4) Ottawa-OT (OT)

 

5) Islanders-Win (OT)

 

6) Boston- Win (Win)

 

 

That gives us 4-2-4 over the last 10 games of the season since my prediction.

 

 

I see us finishing on about 87 points. This basically means we need Detroit, Columbus Toronto and Washington to go winless for the rest of the season for us to make it.

 

 

It’s just not happening. The Devils needed two of those OT losses to be W's in the last four games to make it, and needed considerable support. They got the support but couldn’t hold up their end of the deal.

 

So the Devils actually went 4-1-5 over their last 10 to give them 88 points. pretty much as i expected. This team was a tease all season. It wasnt a good team, it wasnt a bad team, just completley average.

 

funny that out of the three teams above us when we were still in contention, the leafs pretty much did go winless for the remainder of their schedule. 2-8-0 is a horrible way to finish the season.

 

One statistic that stood out for me looking at the end of season results was that the Caps had 21 shootouts on the season!! going 10-11.  That is a quater of their games ending in a shootout. No one else even comes close to that many shootouts.

Edited by Chimaira_Devil_#9

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wow i havent seen mike brown around these parts to tell us our chances lately..oh wait.

 

This is a bad thing? :giggle:

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In the end it wound up taking 93 to make the playoffs. So much for 91.

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In the end it wound up taking 93 to make the playoffs. So much for 91.

 

93 was so totally doable too about 10 games ago.

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93 was so totally doable too about 10 games ago.

 

It wasn’t doable!!! It was not impossible, and at the same time probably improbable!!

 

Why doesn’t anyone get that!!!!

 

Here let me explain it with this chart:

 

Impossibly Probable: 23%

Probably improbable: 70%

Probably Impossible : 7%

Doably impossibly probable: 4 Ducks

Unreasonably certain: 99%

Improbably possibly uncertain guaranteed: 3 1/2 lbs.

Edited by Chimaira_Devil_#9
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It wasn’t doable!!! It was not impossible, and at the same time probably improbable!!

 

Why doesn’t anyone get that!!!!

 

Here let me explain it with this chart:

 

Impossibly Probable: 23%

Probably improbable: 70%

Probably Impossible : 7%

Doably impossibly probable: 4 Ducks

Unreasonably certain: 99%

Improbably possibly uncertain guaranteed: 3 1/2 lbs.

 

 

Now that's just unpossible.

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Now that's just unpossible.

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It turns out 91 points would have been enough to make the playoffs after all.

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It turns out 91 points would have been enough to make the playoffs after all.

 

???

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