Since you love stats so much, here are some more for you. You said the Rangers are not very good at even strength. You realize their 5-on-5 for and against ratio was 6th in the league at 1.14. For those of you who are mathematically deficient, that means they score 1.14 even strength goals for each even strength goal they surrender. The 5 teams that were better were Detroit, St Louis, Vancouver, Boston, Pittsburgh. Only 1 of those teams survived to the 2nd round and all are currently out.
The Rangers were as average as they come going into the playoffs 5 on 5. Their score adjusted fenwick was 50.1 since the deadline and 49.5 overall on the season. They happened to have a pretty friendly sh% and sv% 5 on 5 throughout the season.
In the playoffs they had a terrible first series where Ottawa should have won and they have totally dominated Washington. Their sh% has dried up but sv% is still off the charts.
Better than average PK%? They were 5th in the NHL. I guess that technically is better than average, but generally when one says that they mean it is in the more towards the middle of the pack. Only teams ahead of them are the Devils, Montreal, Pitt, and LA. Again, 1 of those teams didnt make the play-offs, 1 is in the 3rd round, 1 was eliminated in the 2nd and the other is likely going to the 3rd round. So, maybe PK% is a decent indicator, but not fully.
The Rangers had a pretty good PK in the regular season at -36.7 SA/60 but nowhere near NJ which was -29.9 SA/60. In the playoffs once again NJ is much better, Rangers are at -44.2 SA/60 while NJ is -37.2 SA/60.
Let's see what else you want to use? Goals per game? I know, because the Rangers don't score enough. Well they were 11th. More than every team that is still playing except Philly. 2 of the teams in the top 10 (TB and Tor) didnt even make the play-offs.
Offense is just a representation of shots for. Since NJ got Zajac back they have had a constant attack of shots for. The Rangers are midle of the pack in the playoffs.
Goals against a game? Well, you likely wouldnt bring this up as the Rangers are 3rd, so it hurts your argument. St Louis and LA were 1 and 2 resectively. So, 2 of the top 3 are still alive. Phoenix, by the way was 5th. So, assuming a Rangers victory in game 6 or 7, we will see 3 of the final 4 teams were top-5 in fewest Goals against.
NJ allowed fewer shots in the regular season and in the playoffs. Clearly you have the better goaltender but NJ certainly has the better team defense.
Point is, you can play with your numbers all you want and come up with all the ridiculous analysis you want. It reality, it doesn't mean squat.
Numbers are just a representation of what was collected.
I am however curious about the substantial shooting luck. How do you measure shooting luck? Is that like if you are playing a form of billiards and you miss your shot but the cue ball kicks the other way and you get some 4-ball combo that sinks one your balls?
Luck is posting rates far above the league norm in which case are unsustainable. NJ has been very lucky 5 on 5 in this postseason along with being very good.
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