This is basically how the roster shakes out right now:
Starting Position Players
C: John Buck
1B: Ike Davis
2B: Daniel Murphy
SS: Ruben Tejada
3B: David Wright
LF: Lucas Duda
CF: Kirk Nieuwenhuis
RF: Mike Baxter
C: Anthony Recker
INF: Justin Turner
OF: Collin Cowgill
SP: Johan Santana
SP: Jon Niese
SP: Matt Harvey
SP: Shaun Marcum
SP: Dillon Gee
RP: Frank Francisco
RP: Bobby Parnell
RP: Brandon Lyon
RP: Josh Edgin
RP: Scott Atchison
RP: Pedro Feliciano
RP: LaTroy Hawkins
Michael Bourn remains a possibility, so he could throw a wrench into that current outfield situation. But as of right now, I'd expect those three lefties to be the starters vs RHP with Cowgill and the other backup outfielder playing vs LHP. That other outfielder, who will be also be a righty, is likely going to be Marlon Byrd or Andrew Brown. Zach Lutz is going to see some time in the outfield this spring, which is probably a terrible idea, so he could be an option as well; for now though, Byrd and Brown are the easy favorites to battle it out for that final bench spot.
That other utility infielder role will be a competition between Hicks, Valdespin, and maybe Quintanilla. Hicks and Valdespin have the advantage of being on the 40-man already and Hicks is out of options, which may give him the bench spot by default. Hicks is also a true backup shortstop, which Terry Collins likes to have on his roster, for whatever reason. If it were up to me, I'd give Lutz that utility infielder spot and let him spot Ike vs tough LHP, play some DH in interleague games, and just act as a solid bat off the bench. Lutz isn't a player you really want in the field often, but Turner has shown he can cover you at 3B, 2B, and SS in a pinch. There shouldn't be a need to carry a "true" shortstop who may not hit a lick.
The starting rotation, barring any injuries, is set. Moving on...
The bullpen looks pretty set too. There's some health concerns there with Feliciano and Atchison, but if healthy, I think both make the team (as they should, especially in Atchison's case). Maybe Hawkins loses out to one of the internal options like Greg Burke, but for the most part, I think the bullpen is pretty set.
With all of these veteran relievers brought in on minor league deals, there will need to be some 40-man roster activity at the end of spring training, so that should be interesting. If they don't make the team, relievers like Greg Burke, Elvin Ramirez, and maybe even Rob Carson could be on the chopping block. After that, it gets a little trickier. There could be up to 4 or 5 newcomers that they'll need to make room for when all is said and done.
Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections are out and their depth chart standings are pretty surprising, as they have the Mets down for 80 wins, which would miss the 2nd wild card spot by just 4 games. They aren't a fan of the CF situation either, so adding Bourn could make up that difference.
With that said, there's no doubt that's a highly optimistic outlook. I have them as something around a 72-win team right now, and other projection systems like ZiPS and CAIRO aren't any more enthused about the 2013 team than I am.
I can't wait until the first spring training game happens; February 23rd, a Saturday, vs the Nats at 12-noon, which should be broadcasted on SNY. And a little more than a month from then, the season- and home-opener on April 1st vs the Padres will be upon us. There's also the World Baseball Classic that will be going on in March. Oh thank goodness for the return of baseball!
I'm looking forward to many of the young arms on the farm taking a step forward. The St. Lucie and Savannah rotations, in particular, are going to be very intriguing. Hopefully some bats begin to emerge; a solid full-season debut from Brandon Nimmo would help in that regard, though he is still far off. Flores is the closest to the Majors and should find Las Vegas to his liking, but I have no idea where he's going to play when he comes up here. And then there are the star prospects like Wheeler and d'Arnaud who will hopefully making a seamless transition to the Majors.
I'm looking forward to another season with the typical crew here -- 7, Hasan, CR, Devil Dose, whoever else I'm missing. I can't believe it's been like 6 years since we started these threads, it sure doesn't seem like that long.
Anyway, anything can happen in baseball, so let's just enjoy the season and whatever it brings (hopefully good things!). LETS GO METS!
Edited by nmigliore, 11 February 2013 - 12:35 PM.