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#1 nmigliore

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Posted 23 March 2013 - 10:08 PM

DR33 usually does the honors in creating this thing but we're a week away from the season beginning and I feel a bit silly bumping the 2012 thread, so, here we are.

A couple of great pieces of baseball reading came out this week:

First is this fantastic interview between Jonah Keri and Coco Crisp on the art of base-stealing. Some really cool stuff in here with Crisp breaking down a bunch of examples of him stealing in various situations: http://www.grantland...-stealing-bases

And then this article penned by Eno Sarris who interviews Joey Votto on hitting: http://www.fangraphs...tto-on-hitting/

Don't mind the websites, it's nothing saber-minded or anything, just some great baseball writing.

Edited by nmigliore, 23 March 2013 - 10:19 PM.

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#2 nmigliore

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 09:54 AM

My predictions:

Standings
AL East winner: Blue Jays
AL Central winner: Tigers
AL West winner: Angels

AL Wild Card 1: Rangers
AL Wild Card 2: Rays

AL Sleeper: Indians - I like what they did this offseason, and although they look more like a .500ish team on paper, there's certainly large enough error bars to push them into wild card contention with rebound seasons from the pitching staff (Jimenez, Masterson, the reincarnation of Kazmir) and Trevor Bauer looming.

NL East winner: Nationals
NL Central winner: Reds
NL West winner: Diamondbacks

NL Wild Card 1: Braves
NL Wild Card 2: Cardinals

NL Sleeper: My sleeper would be the D-Backs, but I have them winning the NL West, so that feels sort of cheap. If I had to put something down, I'll say the Rockies are probably better than they are being credited for. I don't see them contending or anything, but I could see a near-.500 team, which would be a heck of an improvement over last season and compared to what some of the projection systems think of them (CAIRO: 72 wins, ZiPS: 70 wins).

Awards
AL MVP: Miguel Cabrera (yeah, boring pick and he probably won't win it again, but he's probably the safest bet to be in the race year in and year out)
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander (see Cabrera)
AL Rookie of the Year: Wil Myers

NL MVP: Joey Votto
NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg
NL Rookie of the Year: Shelby Miller

Edited by nmigliore, 30 March 2013 - 08:24 AM.

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LETS GO METS
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"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#3 NJDevs4978

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 03:18 PM

You don't have the Giants or Dodgers even making the playoffs?  Interesting.



I think the Rangers fall off, especially with all the other improving teams in the AL.  The AL East is a total crapshoot.  Toronto has the most talent, but they're Toronto, and a collection of hired guns so who really knows if they live up to it.


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"The Devils have high standards, that's the difference. We have a standard to live up to every year, and a couple of teams in our area don't have the standards we do." - Pat Burns

The New Jersey Devils win Stanley Cups everywhere:
-NHL record for most road wins in the playoffs - 10-1 in '95 and 10-2 in '00
-NHL record for most home wins in the playoffs - 12-1 in '03

#4 nmigliore

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Posted 28 March 2013 - 04:54 PM

You don't have the Giants or Dodgers even making the playoffs?  Interesting.

 
It's a tough division to predict. You can make a good case for any of those three teams to win it, really. They all look like 85-or-better win teams on paper. I just really like Arizona; their starting pitching depth is probably tops in the league which can help them sustain success if/when injuries/ineffectiveness occur and they were better than their record credited them for last year. Admittedly, I also chose them partly because I wanted to be a little bold/different from the standard Dodgers/Giants pick. I'd be pretty surprised if they aren't at least in the wild card race. The Dodgers are the real bust team of the group; tons of hype but plenty of question marks and holes for a $200M+ roster.
 
I could see the NL West 2nd place finisher grabbing a wild card spot too, but I went with St. Louis.
 
I'd do a redo on my Rookie of the Year pick though; totally blanked on Jed Gyorko of San Diego and Shelby Miller of St. Louis.

Edited by nmigliore, 30 March 2013 - 08:25 AM.

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LETS GO METS
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"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#5 nmigliore

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Posted 29 March 2013 - 02:17 PM

Apparently today is the day to hand out massive contract extensions to star players. Verlander tacked on 5 years to his current deal, which makes it 7/180 plus a vesting option that could push it to 8/202. Buster Posey gets 9/167, starting this year. Kershaw may also be extended over these next few days.
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LETS GO METS
LETS GO DEVILS

"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#6 Devils Dose

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Posted 29 March 2013 - 03:03 PM

As we can clearly see, the Johan Santana situation has been taken as a very big, cautionary tale by MLB GMs.
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#7 NJDevs4978

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Posted 29 March 2013 - 03:13 PM

As we can clearly see, the Johan Santana situation has been taken as a very big, cautionary tale by MLB GMs.

 

lol I was gonna say it seems like MLB GM's subscribe to the Lou theory of not wanting to do extensions during the season with all the extensions getting done hours before Opening Day.


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"The Devils have high standards, that's the difference. We have a standard to live up to every year, and a couple of teams in our area don't have the standards we do." - Pat Burns

The New Jersey Devils win Stanley Cups everywhere:
-NHL record for most road wins in the playoffs - 10-1 in '95 and 10-2 in '00
-NHL record for most home wins in the playoffs - 12-1 in '03

#8 Devils Dose

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Posted 31 March 2013 - 09:50 PM

I see the Angels and Reds get the honor of being the first team's to ever start their seasons with an interleague game.  That will be an interesting, unusual thing to follow this season.


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#9 nmigliore

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Posted 01 April 2013 - 01:20 PM

2 homers in 2 at bats for Harper already, wow.
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LETS GO METS
LETS GO DEVILS

"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#10 nmigliore

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Posted 01 April 2013 - 05:17 PM

WOW this probably trumps the Harper homers: Clayton Kershaw is dominating, 3 hits through 8 innings, and is sent up to bat in the bottom of the 8th because of his low pitch count. He hits a solo homerun to leadoff the inning. Unreal.
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LETS GO METS
LETS GO DEVILS

"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#11 nmigliore

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Posted 02 April 2013 - 09:59 PM

Marwin freakin' Gonzalez breaks up Yu Darvish's perfect game bid with 2 outs in the 9th. Wow.

Darvish exits with 8.2 IP, 1 hit, 0 runs, 0 BB, 14 K.
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LETS GO METS
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"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#12 Devils Dose

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Posted 02 April 2013 - 10:01 PM

awwwwwww

 

He doesn't even get to complete the shutout.  That's pretty much expected though.  The Rangers probably didn't want Darvish even throwing 100 pitches, just had to let him try for history.


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#13 thefiestygoat

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Posted 02 April 2013 - 11:38 PM

I hate the Rangers but I always cheer for guys to get no-hitters and perfect games (unless its the Red Sox) so I feel bad for Yu Darvish. I'm still sad that Mike Mussina never had a perfect game after numerous near completions of the feat. I remember being crushed as a 13 year old when he lost it with one out to go against the Red Sox and Carl Everett.


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#14 thefiestygoat

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Posted 02 April 2013 - 11:49 PM

This article about the evolution of free agency and the way it is now is from FanGraphs but it isn't a sabremetrics article at all. I think its a solid read for any baseball fan. Interesting to see how many guys are being locked up by their original clubs and how the market allows the smaller clubs to do it.


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RIP Pat Burns -- RIP Alexander Vasyunov and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Winner of the 2008 Sergei Brylin Award for Most Underrated Poster
Co-Winner of the 2011 Scott Bertoli Award for Best Minor League Poster, Winner of the 2012 Scott Bertoli Award


#15 NJDevs4978

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Posted 03 April 2013 - 06:21 AM

Marwin freakin' Gonzalez breaks up Yu Darvish's perfect game bid with 2 outs in the 9th. Wow.

Darvish exits with 8.2 IP, 1 hit, 0 runs, 0 BB, 14 K.

 

On a comebacker through the box no less.


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"The Devils have high standards, that's the difference. We have a standard to live up to every year, and a couple of teams in our area don't have the standards we do." - Pat Burns

The New Jersey Devils win Stanley Cups everywhere:
-NHL record for most road wins in the playoffs - 10-1 in '95 and 10-2 in '00
-NHL record for most home wins in the playoffs - 12-1 in '03

#16 thefiestygoat

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Posted 12 April 2013 - 02:09 AM

Craziness in Cali last night...I'll let the video, tweets, and article give the details.

Greinke breaks collarbone after hitting Quentin

After he was plunked on the left shoulder in the sixth inning, Quentin started walking toward the mound. Greinke appeared to say something and Quentin then charged the 2009 AL Cy Young Award winner.

They dropped their shoulders and collided, and Quentin tackled the pitcher to the grass. Both ended up on the bottom of a huge scrum as players from both sides ran onto the field and jumped in. Greinke lowered his left (non-throwing) shoulder into Quentin and took the brunt of the blow as they collided.

After the teams started clearing the field, Jerry Hairston Jr. came running across the field yelling and pointing at someone in the San Diego dugout and had to be restrained. Dodgers slugger Matt Kemp also was livid, perhaps in part because Padres starter Jason Marquis threw a high-and-tight pitch to him in the first inning.


All this on a 3-2 pitch in a 1 run game. Mattingly pointed out that Quentin crowds the plate and Quentin really overreacted. Mattingly was rightfully pissed in the post game press conference. Hairston Jr was apparently pissed because a Padre was making fun of Greinke's injury. Here's the video of the brawl:

http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=26208555&topic_id=11493214&c_id=mlb&tcid=vpp_copy_26208555&v=3

But apparently the festivities didn't end there...
@MartyCaswell
"Players just ran out of Dodgers clubhouse...appears Matt Kemp and Carlos Quentin went after it in players parking lot"
"Kemp and Quentin were nose-to-nose and had to be separated by Clayton Richard"

The Dodgers twitter actually had a pretty good message to San Diego:

Edited by thefiestygoat, 12 April 2013 - 02:11 AM.

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RIP Pat Burns -- RIP Alexander Vasyunov and Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Winner of the 2008 Sergei Brylin Award for Most Underrated Poster
Co-Winner of the 2011 Scott Bertoli Award for Best Minor League Poster, Winner of the 2012 Scott Bertoli Award


#17 nmigliore

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Posted 12 April 2013 - 09:21 PM

Haven't seen this yet but apparently Jose Reyes was carted off the field tonight after badly hurting his ankle. Was crying and everything. Wow. Really sad.

Edited by nmigliore, 12 April 2013 - 09:22 PM.

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LETS GO METS
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"Take all that clubhouse [expletive] and all that, throw it out the window. Every writer in the country has been writing about that [expletive] for years. Chemistry don't mean [expletive]."

- Jim Leyland

#18 '7'

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Posted 12 April 2013 - 09:29 PM

yea they're speculating broken ankle...he was hitting .395 to start the season


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#19 95Crash

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Posted 14 April 2013 - 02:58 PM

Straight out of an episode of Seinfeld:

 

Diamondbacks owner forces Dodgers fans to change clothes or move seats

 

http://sports.yahoo....10214--mlb.html

 


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#20 CarterforPresident

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Posted 14 April 2013 - 06:05 PM

Straight out of an episode of Seinfeld:

Diamondbacks owner forces Dodgers fans to change clothes or move seats

http://sports.yahoo....10214--mlb.html

I wouldn't do it that's wrong to ask that. You have the right to support your team.
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