Where did I say Jagr was for shootouts?
You better believe this team is all about special teams and it will ride either the success or the failures accordingly.
Last year the team was tremendous at shootouts.
Last year the PK broke the modern day era kill percentage.
The team isn't composed of guys that can win a Cup with their 5 on 5 offense, especially with the well documented goal deficit from the lost players form last season.They need a top 10 power play to be successful. Hopefully over the remaining games they figure it out. If not, you will clearly be able to see that the poor PP and the inability put the puck by the goalie in the shootout will doom this team to no dance ticket.
Jagr(A bruin now I believe) would have added a half wall presence that we simply don't have.
The PP as it currently configured is a joke. Did you see how hard the Islanders pressed because they knew exactly where every pass was going?
I'd like to know why the don't use Carter on the PP.
Fix the PP you fix this team.
The Devils had 1 power play last night.
So we should have the team set records or it's worthless? How good was that penalty kill in the playoffs? Easy to set records when the goalie's stopping an inordinate number of shots, like Brodeur and Hedberg did in last year's regular season. Harder to do when they can't stop a beach ball, like in last year's playoffs.
The power play is fine. It's going to miss Kovalchuk and slide back to being middle of the road, but there's talented players who can score. Everyone thinks their power play is too static when it's not scoring and that it's amazing when it's on a hot streak.
Teams who think in these terms lose out to teams who don't. Jagr gives a dynamic presence? How many goals is that worth over the rest of the season? You can't put a definite number on it, but you can put a range on it. I'll give you a hint, it's not that high.
The question is whether the powerplay is better with Kovalchuk than without him, not whether the numbers improved over a two month period. Since you cannot recreate the world to account for the powerplay without him, it's very difficult, if not impossible to quantify it. Perhaps if he's out for long period of time, you could quantify it. But still, like they do at ILWT, you would have to go through all the powerplay goals that were scored in his absence to determine how many of those goals were quirky, caused by bad goaltending, etc., rather than coming up with some arbitrary number that accounts for "luck". (I'll also add that in previous posts, you've said that Kovalchuk is excellent on the PP and penalty killing). And as Sterio commented, a lot of it has to do with coaching, i.e., just setting up Kovalchuk for a bombs away from the point that most decent goalies will stop. Ultimately though, I'll stick with Occam's razor that offensively talented players help make a powerplay better.
Honestly, I can't speak to Jagr in particular, since I haven't seen him play at all this year, and don't know how much gas he has left in the tank. I tend to trust MacIassac's argument that he would make the PP better.
I like a lot of what ILWT does, but going through all the goals scored against the goaltenders is one of the more inane things they do. Going through power plays like this would be even more inane. Even if you wanted to say Jagr increases PP shooting percentage - and maybe he does - you can still put a number to these things. Figure out how many PP goals you think Jagr would be on the ice for. There's 12 games left in the season, so figure that's what, 48 PPs on average? Most likely outcomes would have the Devils scoring between 6 and 12 goals on those PPs - that sounds about sensible, right? Maybe widen it out a bit to 5-13. Then go back and start figuring out if shots rates and shooting percentage rates increased, how many goals you could 'attribute' to Jagr. But again, that means thinking that goals are largely random events, which I know you don't.
They're way off from last year with an equal amount of time remaining. Taking on a thousand year old forward isn't going to help them a whole lot, even as well as he's playing, because he has no potential future with the team.
There's no logical reason to think this team is making a run if they get in. They are going to get splattered. Tune in on Thursday for a demonstration.
Only thing markedly different is the awful goaltending. They're fine otherwise.