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Why Can't Canada Win the Stanley Cup?


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#1 smelly

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Posted 02 June 2013 - 03:05 PM

http://fivethirtyeig...cup/#more-40212


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#2 cgb6397

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Posted 02 June 2013 - 07:56 PM

Pure probability. They have only have seven of the thirty teams
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#3 GoArmySports

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Posted 02 June 2013 - 09:43 PM

The salary cap.


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#4 CarpathianForest

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Posted 02 June 2013 - 09:50 PM

Vince McMahon     er, Gary Bettman


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#5 CarterforPresident

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Posted 02 June 2013 - 10:53 PM

Half Canadas teams aren't stanley cup contenders at all
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#6 Ollie McKraut

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 12:13 AM

lack of freedom


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#7 peteyvegas51

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 07:32 AM

They do. Just with other teams.
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#8 Chuck the Duck

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 09:10 AM

 

Sorry.  Had to do it.


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#9 Daniel

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 11:48 AM

This is a very long-winded way of saying there is no rhyme or reason to the answer.  You had three Canadian teams take the SCF to game 7 since 2004 -- Calgary, Edmonton and Vancouver.  Althoug I'm not a statistician, that would seem to be the statistical equivalent of winning a Cup.  But even if it isn't, it has nothing to do with ticket sales, geographical region, or fan followings.  It was just random chance that led to a Canadian team not drafting Sydney Crosby, having GMs that made bad calls on draft picks, trades or free agency signings, hiring the wrong coach, etc.  In fact, the words "draft", "trade", "coach" and "general manager" are not mentioned in the article at all. 

 

EDIT:  It's also interesting the same amount of Canadian baseball teams have won a championship in the same period of time than a Canadian hockey team. 


Edited by Daniel, 03 June 2013 - 11:54 AM.

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#10 NJDevs4978

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 04:21 PM

It is funny the Canadian drought coincides with Bettman's tenure :whistling:

 

(well almost, since he became commish in mid-93, I thought it was the start of '94)


Edited by NJDevs4978, 03 June 2013 - 04:23 PM.

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#11 DH26

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 05:00 PM

Because the Leafs, Flames, Canadiens (before Bergevin at least and that Subban contract doesn't help his competence probability), Oilers are incompetent. The Senators got to the finals and probably were the best team on paper in 03 and 07. The Canucks fell apart when they had Boston dead to rights before Aaron Rome. I didn't need Nate Silver to tell me that 


Edited by DH26, 03 June 2013 - 05:01 PM.

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#12 Daniel

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 05:07 PM

Because the Leafs, Flames, Canadiens (before Bergevin at least and that Subban contract doesn't help his competence probability), Oilers are incompetent. The Senators got to the finals and probably were the best team on paper in 03 and 07. The Canucks fell apart when they had Boston dead to rights before Aaron Rome. I didn't need Nate Silver to tell me that


Yeah, but he at least toys with the idea that there's something intrinsic about being a team in Canada that's to explain for this, Except for fewer Canadian based teams, it's just happenstance. And that four Canadian teams game within a game of winning the Cup during that time should be the nail in the coffin for any such argument.
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#13 CarpathianForest

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Posted 03 June 2013 - 06:23 PM

A lot has changed since the dominance of Canadian teams. The Habs no longer get special draft privileges, Gretzky arriving in LA gave hockey legs in the US. I mean up until the late 60's there were only 6 teams and 2 were Canadian. The odds were much better for a Canadian team than they are now.


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