First off, 10 wins gets us to 93 points. I can't possibly see how that wouldn't be enough.
Second, you want reality? Reality is we have no REAL first round pick. Reality is we have no incentive to tank. Reality is we've got nothing to lose by cheering for this team to win as many games as possible. Reality is being all the doom and gloom accomplishes nothing.
Truth is being negative all the time isn't being realistic. Being a blind pessimist isn't being realistic much like being a blind optimist isn't either.
How dumb are you? Yeah, we all want them to make it, what the fvck do you think!? They have sub-10% shot at it. We don't think they will, because they have a sub-10% shot at making it. Those odds are bad odds (I'm spelling this out for you because it's what you do. See how annoying I am?).