Columbus is playing well lately so this probably is actually the best case scenario, but let's assume they somehow lose to the Blackhawks, Coyotes, and Lightning in regulation, but beat the Isles, Panthers, and also Dallas (that's a make-up game where they're already up 1-0 when Peverly had his heart problem), that's 3 wins for 6 points which puts them at 91. We can only afford then to go 5-0-1. 4-1-1 or 4-0-2 which would be tough enough as it is wouldn't even do it Again, best case scenario for the wild card spot that Detroit occupies is essentially the same, having them go 3-3, assuming losses to Mtl, Stl, and Pit, with wins against Buf (2x) and Car. That would put them at 92pts, and in that situation we'd have to win all 6 of our remaining games. So...unless one of those teams really tanks and goes 1 or 2 wins in their last 6, and we get 4 or more, then we're toast. The thing no one erally sees is that we have a lot of the same opponents as them (NYI, BUF, FLA), but the difference being that we lost to them because we're not respected and they played hard against us because they knew they could be us, yet when Det or Cmb plays them they will likely falter and lose because they know they're inferior to them.
What would be hilarious is if after the weekend is over and we manage to beat Wsh and Car, and Columbus loses to Chi and NYI, we'd be 1 point out of a playoff spot with a week to go, but Columbus has a pretty weak schedule to finish the year and although ours is weak too, there's a much better chance of them holding that would-be 1pt lead or even extending it than there is of us continuing to somehow put together a 3+ game win streak which we haven't done all year.
The worst part of it all is, I truly want to hang on to hope and like an idiot I am going to continue watching the games as the season winds down, praying for a miracle, but in all honesty and reality I actually have almost no hope or faith whatsoever that they'll even make this a photo finish. 5pts seems insurmountable now and frankly I could see this team letting out it's last gasp of air and losing tonight, and basically washing away the last few games, to end up finishing the season 8-9 points behind the final wildcard team.
Even with 92 points it shows slightly under 80% chance to get in. We would have to go 6-0-0. I don't see this team stringing together 6 wins.
Also, you are not an idiot for continuing to watch the games. I will watch them too even though I have already come to terms with the fact that we are not making the playoffs. Support your team through the good and bad, etc...yadda yadda yadda. Nothing wrong with that.
Edited by mrthemike, 04 April 2014 - 08:48 AM.