People take predictions to seriously, do you understand how hard that is to do? Physics thermodynamics hydrology are all involved. As for the hurricane season they predicted at least 13 named storms and 11 occurred, ok they were not intense or hit land, oh well. When it matters most they forecast storms very well, they had Sandys trajectory predicted over a week in advance and it was a perect path. One of the mose complicated storms in our history was perfecty forecasted. My favorite is people thinking tornadoes are getting worse and more common. This country averages over 1200 tornadoes a year, nobody realizes that. The reason why damage has gone up because population and development in the Midwest went up. I don't want to get in a long discussion but look up whose work you are reading, is it a meteorologist or a broadcaster like Al Roker, is it a climatologist or just some blogger. Everyone is just very arrogant about this stuff with absolutely no background knowledge.
First you accuse me of making this up and when I call your bluff and show you proof, you then go on about how we take predictions too seriously. Pardon the pun, but I did predict this kind of answer from you right after I posted that.
Again, this is a lot of guessing work based on past models. I know it is a prediction but to predict a bad hurricane season and then none hit land is like saying it's going to thunder every night during the summer and instead there is a drought.
I know the weather is unpredictable but at this point with the mix of meteorogolists, climatologists, and tv weathermen crying wolf to gain ratings (and in a lot of the times funding), don't be surprised when a lot of the public starts to roll their eyes more and more with these predictions.
Edited by DevsMan84, 22 January 2014 - 03:44 PM.