EDIT: nvm you're right.
Despite that, are we not still only 3 points back?
Everytime you do that, you're only telling part of the story. Stop ignoring all of the other teams that are a part of this, or anything else that doesn't paint as rosy of a picture as you'd like. The % to get in is 33 for a reason, and the number of teams involved and the fact that other teams do have games ahead of them play a factor in that percentage.
We'll know by the deadline what the Devils should do. Originally I said the Devils needed to go 4-1-1 in the six games before the trade deadline. So far they're 1-1 in those games. I'll back off a little on that prediction...maybe 3-1-0 or 2-0-2 (4-2-0 or 3-1-2) would be OK. But I'm not sure how much of a buying endorsement I can give them if they don't come away with at least 6 points over the next four games.
I've said the Devils need to go 12-6-6 to have a good shot to get in (basically repeat what they did in the last 25 games before the loss against the Caps). Now it's 12-5-6 to close out the season.
If they go 3-1-0 in the next four, that's 9-4-6 to close out the year to get to 91 points. It's 10-5-4 if they go 2-0-2. Based on the Devils' record in Cory's last 14 starts (7-3-4), that's doable, but it's all predicated on Cory continuing to provide the best puck-stopping in the league, and either Marty or whoever will back up Cory approximating what Cory's doing when he has to be rested (I'm guessing at this point, PDB might just start Cory every game until he has the kind of game that shows he's temporarily spent). I do believe that the scoring will get better, but I don't know by how much.
2-2-0 in their next 4 pre deadline, that means 10-3-6, 11-4-4, or 12-5-2 to close out for 91. That also means they would have gone 6-6-3 in the 15 games leading up to the deadline. There has to be a top-end somewhere, and I can't make a case for the Devils doing any better some combo that gives them 24 points over the season's final 19 games. I hate to bail on a potential playoff berth, especially with Cory's situation being what it is, but if the Devils aren't in reasonable position to get to 91 points, with 24 points in 19 games after the deadline being the most I can ask for, then they should sell.
Edited by Colorado Rockies 1976, 10 February 2014 - 08:59 AM.