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The Thread Formerly Known as The Reasons for Optimism Thread

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#181 Neb00rs


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Posted 20 March 2014 - 12:31 PM

No it hasn't.  We're playing 9 of 13 games at home with only one set of back to backs.  Our record is significantly better against the lesser teams than it is against the better teams.  Regardless of how good we've been against the lesser teams, it still doesn't change the fact it's still better to have these games against the lesser teams than the better teams.


1. 12 of 13 games are against lesser teams.

2. 9 of 13 games are at home.

3. Only one set of back to backs.


All of this equates to a favorable schedule.



It was a bad loss, but the Panthers also just beat the Sharks in San Jose.



What the hell does how the Panthers played against SJ have to with this discussion? That actually means zero. Nothing. Nada. That kind of statement says, "I don't even watch the NHL."


Secondly, just because (in your words) we have favorable circumstances coming up, means nothing also. There really isn't such a thing as a 'favorable schedule.' In a broad sense, teams don't win much more or less when they have more back-to-backs, more home games, or easier opponents. The issue with the records you posted (below) is that they are so close that there is no reasonable evidence to suggest the Devils will go on a long enough streak to make the playoffs. 


VS top 10 teams: 9-11-4 (.458 PTS%)
VS middle 10 teams: 11-9-6 (.538 PTS%)
VS bottom 10 teams: 9-7-3 (.553 PTS%)




The issue is that your talking like it is completely reasonable that we could go 10-3-1 when we don't have a streak even close to that in 2 years. Heck, we can't even win 3 games in a row. It seems like your joking when you post something like the above. It disproves your point if anything. If we were 16-3-0 vs. the bottom ten and 6-15-3 against the top ten then you MIGHT, MIGHT have a point.

Edited by Neb00rs, 20 March 2014 - 12:32 PM.

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