Posted 06 March 2014 - 11:11 AM
I'm sorry, but Loktionov did not 'show why he was picked in the 5th round'. 5th round players seldom become regular NHLers. A player's draft position really carries little weight 6 years away from the draft. Loktionov has run bad in terms of on-ice SH%, not much other way to put it. He himself is probably not a great shooter. Either way, there's a regular NHL player in there, and he added a dynamism to NJ that Ruutu does not, so that's a little disappointing. It's more disappointing that we have to see Henrique moved off the wing where he has been excellent for center which is a position I don't think he plays particularly well.
Positive regression should not be 'expected' - this is the gambler's fallacy. We should expect Ruutu to shoot closer to his career norm than what he's done this year. Still, if he's not getting PP time he shouldn't do a ton.
One thing Ruutu does do is give them a little depth in case of injury - the Devils aren't tremendously deep right now. Josefson would be the 13th forward, but then it's either Boucher, Sislo, or Sestito are the first callups - hopefully Ruutu forestalls that a little bit.
Loktionov was a healthy scratch for six straight games at one point. Sure sounds like a guy struggling to become a regular NHLer to me. I remember some thinking the trade was a steal at the time it was made. Devils did get 76 NHL games out of him, which I guess isn't a bad return for the 5th-rounder they gave up (a lot of 5th-rounders never get that far), but it wasn't like LA got fleeced. At 23 going on 24, he's already on his third team...we'll see if Carolina re-signs him, or if he goes to the KHL or NHL team #4.
Never said anything about "expecting" positive regression...simply hoping for some. You're always the guy who would say something like "A career 12.1% shooter is not going to shoot 6.3% for the season, he's due for some luck." Obviously shot quantity will factor in heavily. Gotta see how the Devils plan on using him.
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