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The Quest for 91


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#141 Neb00rs

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Posted 19 March 2014 - 02:26 AM

Believe what you wish, they've packed it in since choking away a game they needed Friday.


And they're five points plus a game in hand out with less than a month to go to jump multiple teams.  Even if they ripped off a ten-game winning streak somehow THAT might not be enough at this point and since they've had one lousy three-game winning streak in over a year that ain't likely.

 

Stop with the logic, you're letting facts cloud your judgement. Watch the video and it will change your mind.


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#142 RizzMB30

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Posted 19 March 2014 - 08:47 AM

I'm still optimistic, watching last nights game against the Bruins hurt my optimism.  I'm still a fan, and I'm still watching the games, but holy sh!t do the guys need to switch it up. 


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This fan will never forget Scott Stevens.

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#143 RizzMB30

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Posted 19 March 2014 - 08:49 AM

If you guys want to pack it up, fine. But I'm believing in this damn team. Just look at some of the moments from this year and tell me you're ready to quit. 

 

Devils 2013-2014 Highlights - Olympic break

I can't watch the video as I'm not in the States atm.  Optimism doubly hurt. :urg:


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This fan will never forget Scott Stevens.

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#144 Neb00rs

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Posted 19 March 2014 - 12:20 PM

If this thread can't die, can we at least rename it "The quest for 85"?


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#145 Mike Brown

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Posted 20 March 2014 - 04:40 AM

UPDATED

 

10-3-0: 71.5% chance

9-2-2: 67.8% chance

8-1-4: 63.7% chance


Edited by Mike Brown, 20 March 2014 - 05:19 AM.

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#146 lucifer91

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Posted 20 March 2014 - 06:53 AM

If this thread can't die, can we at least rename it "The quest for 85"?

 

No, I now see it as a quest to sign or trade for Steven Stamkos, guy is a beast.  Hey, I can dream.


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#147 NJDfan1711

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Posted 20 March 2014 - 08:22 AM

The way I see it, we need 3 times to happen:

 

Beat the teams just ahead of us (NYR, WSH, TOR) in regulation

Beat the teams just behind us (CAR, OTT) in regulation

Beat the "weak" teams (FLA, NYI, BUF)

 

The 3rd point probably has the best chance of happening since those teams don't really have anything to play for, though we all know teams like to play spoiler and that doesn't always end up being the case where they roll over and die.

 

It's not very likely that we win all 5 of the games against the teams around us, in regulation no less, but most of them are at home where we have been playing better this year than on the road, so that is at least one thing going in our favor.

 

Normally losing tonight to a Western Conference opponent such as Minnesota wouldn't be all that bad, however in this case, with us riding a 3 game losing streak, and the game being at home, I think it is imperative if we are going to make a real push and try to slip in as a wild card team.  If we lose, even though all of those other more important divisional games I mentioned still lie ahead, I think the moral will be so low that it won't even matter.  Of course you could argue it's already over and doesn't matter, but this is just me being an optimist and trying to find even the slightest chance to believe because I just hate not watching Devils hockey come mid-April.


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#148 Neb00rs

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Posted 20 March 2014 - 12:08 PM

No, I now see it as a quest to sign or trade for Steven Stamkos, guy is a beast.  Hey, I can dream.

 

Lol, dream on my friend. I actually don't think it is possible for us to obtain Steven Stamkos. We have no combination of assets that would even get TB to entertain the idea.


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#149 NJDfan1711

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Posted 21 March 2014 - 02:06 PM

Taken from another forum I post a frequently, here is a breakdown of where we stand in comparison to the rest of the league as of 3/21.   I love watching the teams fight and race for the last few spots.  I think 93 is the new magic number, which means we can only lose 2 of our remaining 12.  =/

 

h]ttp://i1318.photobucket.com/albums/t641/desouza7/EConference_zps69d92b08.png


Edited by NJDfan1711, 21 March 2014 - 02:07 PM.

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#150 Mike Brown

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Posted 21 March 2014 - 02:36 PM

Taken from another forum I post a frequently, here is a breakdown of where we stand in comparison to the rest of the league as of 3/21.   I love watching the teams fight and race for the last few spots.  I think 93 is the new magic number, which means we can only lose 2 of our remaining 12.  =/

 

h]ttp://i1318.photobucket.com/albums/t641/desouza7/EConference_zps69d92b08.png

 

91 gives us a 53.7 - 62.6% chance.

92 gives us a 79.4 - 82.8% chance.

93 gives us a 94.3 - 95.6% chance.

 

http://www.sportsclu.../NewJersey.html


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#151 NJDfan1711

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Posted 21 March 2014 - 03:12 PM

91 gives us a 53.7 - 62.6% chance.

92 gives us a 79.4 - 82.8% chance.

93 gives us a 94.3 - 95.6% chance.

 

http://www.sportsclu.../NewJersey.html

I was just making an educated guess with 93, but it looks like I was correct then :)   It's nice to know 92 is still a possibility as well. 

 

I also still feel strongly that the key is also beating the teams we're chasing in regulation rather than OT or SO.  We can't let them have points when we can control it.  Basically tomorrow and Sunday could very well be our season.  Rags with 78 and Tor with 80.  Of the teams currently in a playoff spot, they seem the most likely to succumb to a failure down the stretch.  CJB looks like they're gripping hard to get in, and catching TB or MTL is pretty much out of the question.


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#152 LucifersDog

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Posted 21 March 2014 - 03:38 PM

91 gives us a 53.7 - 62.6% chance.

92 gives us a 79.4 - 82.8% chance.

93 gives us a 94.3 - 95.6% chance.

 

http://www.sportsclu.../NewJersey.html

 

Mike it's over, devils are done, you don't need to post anymore. How many posts have you posted this season? How annoying is this guy? is it only me?


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#153 Z-Man

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 11:31 AM

While ridiculously unlikely, an 8-2 finish (91 pts.) would still be a good bet to get us in.  The Devils would then have the tie-breaker over all four teams (ROW wins), and you'd need three of those teams to get 11 points or fewer the rest of the way:

 

Toronto (11 or fewer pts. in 8 remaining games):  Still have Philly, Detroit, Boston and a 3 game road trip at the end of the season.

Washington (11 or fewer in 9 remaining games):  Boston, Dallas, Devils, St. Louis and Chicago still remain.

Detroit & Columbus (11 or fewer in 10 remaining games):  Obviously one of these two needs to go on a bit of a tailspin, but neither schedule is a cakewalk.


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#154 squishyx

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 11:36 AM

Mike it's over, devils are done, you don't need to post anymore. How many posts have you posted this season? How annoying is this guy? is it only me?

I don't think it's over, I see 4 teams ahead of us, 2 of which will make the playoffs, and we have ROW tie breaker on 3 of them, likely all if we actually got a few wins.
 

Winning our games in hand and our game vs Wsh puts us 1 point behind Tor/Wsh. Things "we" control. Overcoming a 1 point gap in 8 games? very feasible.

After that we need a small collapse by Det or Clb to to sneak into the 8th slot. Overcoming 5 points in 10 games. Both of those teams are 5-4-1 in their last 10, if *either* went 5-5 over their next 10, and we did 7-2-1 we would be in. With a little luck, if one went 4-6, we could get in with 6-3-1. So Idk how likely it is, but for me it's not "done".


Edited by squishyx, 26 March 2014 - 11:41 AM.

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#155 Neb00rs

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 11:45 AM

It's still highly unlikely. The Maple Leafs losing streak has been huge for us. 

 

The four teams ahead of us all have 80 points. Meaning that's good for 7th.

 

The issue is that their 6-4 beats our 8-2. Only 2 of the 80 teams need to pull that off.


Edited by Neb00rs, 26 March 2014 - 11:49 AM.

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#156 squishyx

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 12:02 PM

It's still highly unlikely. The Maple Leafs losing streak has been huge for us. 

 

The four teams ahead of us all have 80 points. Meaning that's good for 7th.

 

The issue is that their 6-4 beats our 8-2. Only 2 of the 80 teams need to pull that off.

Ah but none of those teams are better then 5-4-1 in their last 10. I think we are still 1-2 games away from being "highly unlikely". I think right now it's almost a coin flip.


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#157 Neb00rs

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 12:31 PM

Ah but none of those teams are better then 5-4-1 in their last 10. I think we are still 1-2 games away from being "highly unlikely". I think right now it's almost a coin flip.

 

A coin flip if we go 8-2 that we get in? In that case I would say it's unlikely but doable.

 

If you mean it's a coin flip whether or not we go 8-2 AND get in then I would say highly unlikely based off the fact that we haven't gone 8-2 since...well, I don't even know.


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#158 DJ Eco

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 12:46 PM

A coin flip if we go 8-2 that we get in? In that case I would say it's unlikely but doable.

 

If you mean it's a coin flip whether or not we go 8-2 AND get in then I would say highly unlikely based off the fact that we haven't gone 8-2 since...well, I don't even know.

 

Since Rounds 2 and 3 of the 2012 Playoffs..... Depressing, I know.


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#159 NJDfan1711

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 01:00 PM

Apparently Greiss is the probable starter tomorrow.   I'd rather play him than Smith.    I would love to see 4 or 5 goals and if not a shutout then maybe 1,  no more than 2 allowed from our guys -- a win like that would be a good way to end this home stand (though we play the Isles after this which is almost like playing at home since it's so close) and it would be inspiring, to me at least, heading into the final stretch which will determine whether or not we keep playing in April.


Edited by NJDfan1711, 26 March 2014 - 01:00 PM.

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#160 squishyx

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Posted 26 March 2014 - 02:14 PM

A coin flip if we go 8-2 that we get in? In that case I would say it's unlikely but doable.

 

If you mean it's a coin flip whether or not we go 8-2 AND get in then I would say highly unlikely based off the fact that we haven't gone 8-2 since...well, I don't even know.

8-2 gets us in under our own power.

6-3-1 (which I think is reasonable for us to do) gets us in with 3 out of 4 teams essentially finishing with 4-6 records. I would say its 40/60 that's how those 4 teams shake out, again none of them are better then 5-4-1, so we just need them to play slightly worse.

I feel like losing 2 of the next 3 or 4 puts us in the hail mary range.


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