But in the previous 2 years, the Devils started to tank in March leading up to the playoffs. That is when you read a a lot of threads on here saying that it will be like 2000 where we only won 4 out of the last 16 games. Problem is that it happened once, and now this is happening 3 times in a row.
Slightly unrelated, but having to do with aberrations.
I think this study is done a lot for people going into psych research. You get 2 groups of people together, one group flips a coin like 1000 times and records heads vs tails while the other group pretends to flip a coin and records 1000 heads or tails outcomes, trying to make it look real. The psych people can almost always tell who was real and who was false because the false people don't put enough "unusual" streaks of heads or tails coming up like 10 or 12 times in a row.
It just shows that we're, as humans, too quick to want things to come back to their natural statistical norm at times. So even if the last 3 times there was only a 5% chance the Devils lose, them losing all 3 still wouldn't be the craziest thing to happen. And we all know the Devils, and most favored teams, winning in the playoffs is more like a 50-60% chance at best with the current league parity. So it's certainly not unusual for a team to come up on the bad side 3 times in a row, even if they were the favorite and statistical choice all 3 times.
Edit: This was more of an excuse to talk about the coin flip study cause I think it's interesting.
Edited by Devils731, 22 June 2010 - 03:34 PM.