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Member Since 08 Sep 2002
Offline Last Active Today, 01:59 PM

Posts I've Made

In Topic: 2014 UFA Signing Thread

Today, 10:20 AM

Yeah, but they don't slide until the first cuts of training camp.  That means they'll have to move someone - I'd bet it's Danny Kristo for a conditional pick but I'm no prognosticator.

In Topic: Changes to the draft lottery

Today, 09:38 AM

According to this, finishing last gave you a 48.2 percent chance of picking first, at least in 2011. 




I don't have a huge problem with that much of a chance for the number 1 pick, since it's a guarantee that a good team that happened to have a bad year will under no circumstances land someone like a McDavid or even an Eichel. 


No, it's not.  That's the point.  You get a few injuries, your team shoots like garbage, and your goalie sucks - you can finish way down there.  Philadelphia did in 2007.  Right now everyone is picking out Buffalo, but try this:  name 4 teams right now, see if you can pick any team that finishes in the bottom 2.  I bet you are even money to not get any teams.

In Topic: Changes to the draft lottery

Yesterday, 09:50 PM

Yeah, but the flip side is that there's a better shot that a so-so team, or even a good team that had a key injury or two moves up to 2 or 3.

I liked the old system, where the best you could do was move up four spots.

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Sure, but that team's only down there for a year - whatever.  


The old system implicitly encourages losing in the fashion that the Oilers did.  The Oilers took a very long time to actually tank, but they did get there eventually.  And the other thing is that with so many #1 overalls playing for the same team, it also damages other franchises' ability to bring in star talent through the draft.

In Topic: Changes to the draft lottery

Yesterday, 05:18 PM

Hey everything's working okay? Let's change it. The NHL way.


They already changed how the draft lottery works before - that if you win you move up to be #1.   


Now the GMs aren't the brightest but what they can see is that the NHL basically had 30 years of zombie franchises and/or expansion teams.  These teams would usually finish last by a dreadful amount and there'd be no accusation of tanking because how could they not lose a billion games?  There's an exception for the 84 Penguins, of course, who had to intentionally be awful just to compete with how terrible the 1984 Devils were.  Well with salary cap floors and no expansion teams, that's mostly all done with - who finishes last overall is largely a matter of (bad) luck.  Occasionally you get a team like the Oilers who are really terrible, but I don't see anything like that coming on the horizon for anyone - even the Sabres, who were dreadful last year, should probably be better this year - they started off with a horrendous coach and terrible players, and they've upgraded a lot of those players.


What the NHL wants to forestall is a race to the bottom, where 2 teams see that they're going to be the ones who finish worst, and try to outdo one another with losing.  They're a little lucky that they haven't really been in this spot much the last few years, but it's bound to happen some year, and it looks horrible.  At the very least, these changes reward that sort of behavior less.  

In Topic: 2014 UFA Signing Thread

Yesterday, 04:58 PM

I have no idea how good he is, but his senior year was the first time he broke more than a point a game, and that was on a stacked BC team.  It's also the first time he scored above 10 goals.  If you want to see what a real stud college player does, Parise had 61 points in 39 games as a freshman.  If he were also really amazing, Chicago, a team with cap issues that could use all the players on ELCs as it can get would have found a way to keep him.


No, Hayes was not playing there under any circumstances, and this was rather apparent early on.

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