(Grrrr, Tapatalk making me mad) I was going to say that the big problem with this article is that the writer considers anyone drafted in the first three rounds to be an "early" pick. Usually we think of anything past the 16th pick to not be an early pick. If he wanted to do something more useful, he should have confined it to the first round selections, maybe the second round, but no further than that. Or better yet, compare high point second rounders to low point first rounders and see if there's anything to it. Thats especially the case since he's making a pretty bold prediction that Jordan Subban will be a better NHLer than Zadorov.
That is casting a wide net, but it eats up plenty of 1st rounders as well. Like I said, I don't like the certainty, because one junior season has plenty of variance in it, and a player can have a rough season by the percentages. But it's something that I always say - while offense may not make it to the next level, it is always a good sign. If you're not putting up points in junior, you probably don't have much skill with the puck, and it's hard to develop that outside of junior. Indeed, there are guys like Chara who developed it later on, but they are the exception. I think with a lot of these big players, the idea is that he has to grow into his body or something like that, but it's just not often that it happens.