Sure you're not - real hard to find a guy who in each of the years where NJ won a Cup or went to the Finals, did not rank in the top 10 in save percentage. I agree that it will be difficult to find a player that highly overrated - you're ahead of me on that score. Brodeur was very good, and indeed he was great in some of those playoff series, but he's one of the most overrated players in sports.
Don't strain yourself too hard for superlatives. Doubt either of these things was really true when both guys were here (maybe Stevens in the early 90s, Niedermayer at the tail end of his NJ career), but both guys were quite excellent.
Funny how according to your precious points, Zajac has already topped Holik's career high - probably not if we adjust for era, but it's certainly close. And Zajac doesn't take a million dumb penalties like Holik, and actually kills penalties (and does so well). Holik's quite an impressive player and I'd probably take him over Zajac but it would be awfully close.
Anyway the point we were making before you derailed was that you thought this team might be a perennial playoff missing team. And I think that's absurd and said so. None of this has anything to do with that.
Marty is one of the best goalies of all time, at worst top five. Period. You can pull out whatever stats you want, you do not win three Stanley Cups, multipel Vezinas, have the most career wins and shut outs by a wide margin by being overrated. If you've come to any other conclusion based on your statistical analysis, there's obviously something missing from your analysis.
Zajac's high was better than Holik's high by one point. And notice that Zajac didn't do so well when he wasn't playing with Parise. Plus Holik was your third line center. So puhleeze. Holik was a better player in his prime than Zajac has been up till now, and probably ever will be. It isn't even debateable. (You also ignored the other centers).
But to the main point (which you derailed by spilling a lot of ink on one minor point I made) -- yes, absent adding at least one bona fide scoring forward, either from the system or in the draft, this team is close to perenially being on the outside looking in, if it isn't already. This is especially the case as the division will be much tougher next year with teams like the Islanders and Columbus improving, and not being automatic wins.
And as I think about it more, in a heart beat I would trade the entire draft (1, 2, 4, 6 and 7) to get MacKinnon, Drouin or Barkov. Each of those three players, from what I read anyway, are very safe bets to be excellent, if not elite, forwards, meaning forwards that can put the puck in the net, which is what goes up on the score board. (A second round pick and below is less than something like 20 percent to play more than 50 NHL games.) Outside of Kovalchuk and Elias -- and an old one at that -- we don't have any forwards other than guys you can describe as a "good all around player". The scorer can be a winger or a center. It really doesn't matter all that much. The situation is more dire considering we have no first round pick next year.
If you were looking at any other team that would be penciling in unproven prospects on defense, that had forwards that have trouble scoring, no top ten goalie on the horizon, and no first round pick next year, you would not be all that optimistic. However, nailing it on just one good forward in this draft, especially someone who can come in this year and put up points (yes that stat that makes your skin melt like the Ark of the Covenant), will help a great, great deal.