Now to Oshie. The hype surronding Oshie is a joke. He's 28 years old and hasn't even scored 25 goals in a season yet. Great player and great addition, but he's not someone a team can depend on to secure 30-40 goals. He's a secondary scorer at best and he's 28 years old. These are his prime years and he's not exactly going to get better with extra ice time in Washington. People identify this guy as a player similar to Zach Parise and the scoring touch just is not there. Parise had already scored 5 30-goal seasons by the time he was Oshie's age. I don't think that acquiring Oshie is any bigger of an acquisition than Palmieri is.
I think that's an unfairly harsh review. Guys who put up 70+ goals in the last two seasons: Ovie, Perry, Seguin, Pavelski, Pacioretty. Yeah, he's not an elite scorer, very few guys are. But just because you're not elite doesn't mean you're secondary (at least not in my book, I realise this definition isn't set in stone). He's more of a playmaker anyways and his point rates are very good - top 30 in assists/60 last two seasons (all situations), 8th at evens, very close to being elite in primary assists/60, 16th in P/60 at even strength...
Caps have their elite scorer and they got a better-than-secondary-scorer to help bolster their secondary scoring without giving up much. And he's quite cheap to boot.
I'm not really in the trade Schneider camp, but it's increasingly likely that whenever the Devils are ready to compete, Schneider will be past his prime (and possibly in rapid decline, or close to it). The timeline for when this team gets good again and Schneider's prime just doesn't mesh, unless an amazing retool happens (which I can't see happening even in my wildest dreams, because the assets aren't there). The Devils basically need homeruns everywhere in this draft + shrewd signings + a heist of a trade.
That's why I'm not against the discussion on trading Schneider. Amazing goalie? Yep. Worth his contract? Yep. But what's that worth if he, in fact, makes the rebuild more difficult (because he's that frickin' good) and the assets you bring back could accelerate the rebuild? It's unlikely that the Devils' next goalie will be as good as Schneider, but then again there're more able goalies than there are teams these days.
I'll never be a big supporter of stats by themselves. There's just so much more that comes with them that you have to look at like 3 stats together plus see the situation to really know whats up.
And the problem is people are often looking at them without considering those variables. so they make assumptions that could very well be wrong.
Plus you can pretty much make stats say wtv you want to say when you know enough.
A good example allllll the articles from Habs blogs about how Subban deserved the Norris, he was not playing the PK that season and was not playing top competition, how in hell can you justify winning the "best overall dman in the league" without playing PK and against top lines? They use stats based on /per 60 min and not breaking down PP, PK and 5 on 5 comparing with Suter and all the other guys and all kind of stats that if you know enough you can pin point whats wrong with it.
Subban was not playing the PK, was playing the full 2 minutes of PP, was not playing top lines and had most of his zone start in the offensive zone. And that season he didnt play a single second against West teams and playing in quite a crappy division.
lol so obviously he had better numbers black on white or was hanging with those guys cause his assignment was wayyyyyy more favorable to him.
The issue is never with the statistic itself, but the analysis and what you interpret it to be. Your "good example" isn't an issue with the stats, but with the analysis of them. I haven't read the piece but let's say you are right and then we have poor analysis and interpretation, of which there is plenty. That is not an indictment on the stat itself. The research and analysis that made shot based metrics popular is solid and there is a reason why people have gotten jobs in hockey using it as the primary category for analysis.
Dreger reports Fraser is on waivers. Seems weird since he's on an AHL deal...unless he's signed an NHL deal and has to pass through waivers (I forget how this procedure works now and what the date is).