The last time anybody actually correctly predicted a major Lou move (no, trading for Steve Sullivan isn't a major move) before it happened was Potvin predicting the Kovalchuk trade. Other than that, the more leaks you see about something the less likely it is to occur.
Thats not true. There was lots of rumours about Cammalleri, Clowe, Brunner and Ryder and i might forget others
Kovalchuk was definitely a rare case. Is there really much NHL level talent over there besides him? Radulov, but wasn't he having discipline problems and contract disputes with Nashville? Anyone else? For the most part, this is where the top players want to be, and I'm not too concerned about it.