Because, dipsh!t, the Devils were in 7th place in the conference on the trade deadline. They weren't 8 points out. Question answered - last time I talk to you on this board. Someone please hold me to this.
Actually they were tied for 8th place with the Islanders. Winnipeg was statistically in 9th place but they were tops in their division. If you want to look further at it I think the Devils were technically in 9th place because they held none of the tie breakers with the Islanders.
Even if you assume the Devils were going to be a playoff team and draft 16-20 there's always the chance a major injury screws that up. Like losing Zach in 2010 or Kovy during the short season. And 16 to 29 is a bigger difference than its made out to be. We got Zach at like 17 but our later round firsts have been highly questionable at best.
Either way it wasn't worth it to hit on a 20 in blackjack hoping you get something similar in the next hand if you don't get an ace this time.
I understand the time value of an asset, Has, but at the same time you have to also figure on the odds of certain things occurring. Even though an asset is more valuable in the present than it is in the future, that doesn't mean disregard the potential future value of the asset based on probabilities. If you're looking at what is almost the least possible valuable 1st round pick in 2012 and saying that's worth more than what is almost undoubtedly a higher value pick in 2014 you have to figure whether the time value of the 2012 is enough to make up the difference. I'll just say I hope that Lou made the correct decision there because I don't have enough information about the potentials of any of the players to gauge at this point whether or not he did.
This would be true if a 2012 pick were worth the same as a 2014 pick. It's not, not in 2012.
I quess my question to you is whether you believe that Matteau is worth the difference between Quenneville and one of Jakub Vrana, Brendan Perlini or Dylan Larkin. I'm not sure of the answer to that question myself.