But a forward that is drafted number 6 overall is someone you can reasonably predict to be a 20-25 goal scorer and would be doing so for a relatively extended period of time
I don't want to seem argumentative or repetitive, but I think you are very wrong on this. I had a few minutes and took a look at forwards drafted around where we'll pick since 2000. There were 30 total forwards drafted since then in spots 6, 7 and 8 overall. Of those 30 forwards, only 14 have EVER scored 20 goals in a season. The average goals scored per season among those 30 players is 11. Granted it's early for guys like Lindholm and Scheifele, who bring the average down but look to be top 6 players and could have some 20 goal season in them yet.
But then I took out the first 2 NHL seasons each of those guys played, considering they were still adjusting to the NHL and that could be bringing the average down, and even then, only 5 guys drafted at 6,7 or 8 overall averaged at least 20 goals a season in their career- Hartnell, Michalek, Voracek, Skinner and Monahan.
I know this was a crude analysis, but I'll be generous and confidently say that history shows we have, at best, about a 20% chance of drafting a consistent 20 goal scorer with this pick. I don't think Kessel is necessarily the answer to our problems- and I would not add anything significant to an offer- but if we move the pick for him it would not be as bad as some have made it out to be.
Edit: if someone knows how to post tables from excel I'd be happy to post the numbers...
I understand the need for youth and the negatives attached to Kessel and I probably wouldn't be jumping for joy if we traded for him, and I also understand that we aren't one player away from a cup...but the odds that the #6 pick in this draft ever approaches kessel's production are very, very low.
William - finally we agree on something. Definitely. Cory Schneider can certainly be the centerpiece of a blockbuster trade, and given my "blehhh sentiments" of how he has played this season, I would not be opposed to entertaining offers for Schneider that will bring us a bonafide first line winger that is below 26 years old.
He is not going to win us a Stanley Cup folks. Schneider is not everything everyone has him pinned to be (at least from what I can see so far).
Kinkaid, however, has impressed me. It started last season against the Bolts. He is a cool customer and for certain, will raise a goaltending controversy in NJ very soon...
I will bookmark this and bump it for you in 2 years... It would be a pleasant surprise if you're correct about Kinkaid.
1994 is celebrated for exactly what you stated. For fans like BlueSkirt's Dad who waited so long to see them win. The same for my Dad, who went to games as a teenager and saw Orr skate the Cup in '72. The 54-year drought and all the phenomenal storylines are why it's still going to be discussed. Personally, I hate it. There are lot of fans who do and just want it to sink like the Titanic. That ship has sailed. It was great at the time and I remember going to the parade in a sea of humidity after riding the Ferry. That was a wonderful time.
This year has really made up for all the lost years where this team did nothing. There was never any comparison. Different teams. This one more based on the goalie and team rather than stars and supporting cast. I personally enjoyed the 2013-14 Rangers more because I got to experience it. 1994 may as well be half a century ago. I'm fine with that.
hey congrats on a great season. I know us devs fans can try to discount any and every rangers accomplishment but you guys definitely had a year to be proud of. As far as breaks go I honestly felt it went both ways in the finals but in the end the better team won. Very similar to our series with them in 2012-o n the scoreboard the games were close but on the ice it wasn't nearly as so.