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Triumph

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Everything posted by Triumph

  1. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    Luongo played 19 seasons and got to the semifinals once. He played in the playoffs only 7 seasons. This is going to be more normal as more teams enter the league without expanding the number of teams who make the playoffs.
  2. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    Luongo is a Hall of Fame goalie who played for a Hall of Shame franchise. He did everything he could.
  3. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    I had wondered why he decided to break his silence with the NHL network and that's probably why. He could ask them not to ask him about Taylor Hall and they would oblige.
  4. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    These NHL reporters don't really speculate on salary/AAV stuff like this very often, so this makes me think that this is leaked from the Devils front office. I think it would be huge to get Butcher at that kind of number but I could see why he might resist - he'd be 30 when the deal is over and it might be hard to get another long-term deal after that, depending on how his career goes.
  5. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    Above the 75th percentile, which is where Zacha was last season, is relatively high, but that was a fun goalpost switch. I mean, I know it's something I said, but then I also clarified. This discussion started with you taking issue with the article posted and claiming that 'goals' and 'assists' means he sucks. Well, when it comes to being short-handed, he doesn't suck at that. Zacha is an excellent penalty killer both offensively and defensively. I'd bet on him having 3 or more points short handed if he gets the same amount of PK time next season. Offense on the PK being what it is - largely controlled by randomness - it's hard to expect much more.
  6. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    I'm sure you knew that the league leader had 9 before you started spouting off about what is and isn't a relatively high level of offense. 3 points shorthanded in a season is a lot. It's above the 50th percentile for sure - in points/60, it's just short of the 80th percentile. Which is ... relatively high. It's more than 75% of the forwards who killed penalties. Relatively high.
  7. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    Among the 185 forwards who spent 50 or more minutes killing penalties last season, Zacha ranked 41st in points/60 minutes. That is precisely 'a relatively high level of offense'. He was 17th in shots/60, so that's even more potential offense. You don't even need GAR or RAPM to tell you that 3 shorthanded points is kind of a lot.
  8. No risk on a one-year deal when the Devils can't even come close to the cap. He's not much anymore 5 on 5 but he busts his ass every shift and will help on the PP.
  9. It's great either way. Subban had a down year last year but he was a 1st pairing defenseman just the year before.
  10. Subban to NJ Santini, Davies, 2 2nds going the other way - McKenzie confirms that 34 this year is going to Nashville Friedman, Lebrun, etc. all confirm
  11. You win by having the best team and the way to have the best team is to get the most value out of the limited resource (cap space) that you have. Marner, Hall, Hischier, Bratt, and Hughes will cost $45-50M at least in 2023. That leaves around $40-45M for the other 16 players. That's not a lot of space at all. I mean, that team probably competes for the Cup at some point, but it's a very short window. Eh, nothing's happened in Devils land since they got 1st overall, so not a whole lot to discuss but the same arguments. But thanks - I think I will be spending more time here in the next few weeks.
  12. The issue isn't that 1st rounders often become superstars, it's that when they're even just average players they provide a massive cap savings during their ELC and subsequent years before arbitration. The Devils are not in a position to give up 4 1st round picks.
  13. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    It seemingly always has to be brought up - if Stamkos stayed in Sarnia until he was 20, Boucher never would've had a chance at that record. Stamkos scored 51 goals in the NHL when he was 19, how many do you think he would've scored against junior goalies and defenses? Most junior team scoring records are held by guys like Boucher rather than future NHL stars. Boqvist may not be anything in the NHL, but there's a lot of reasons to be hopeful that he is something.
  14. Triumph

    2019 Offseason Thread

    Hahah love how this is now Sterio's memories of why PK Subban is bad. He had a down year this season but before that he was one of the best defensemen in the world. The idea that he always spins and turns the puck over is nuts. The last 3 years he played in Montreal, the team was +20 with him on the ice and -7 with him off. But yeah, his teammates for some reason hated the guy.
  15. Playmakers make goal scorers. The Devils could certainly use shoot-first wingers, but with Hughes and Hischier as centers for at least the next 7 years, they shouldn't be paying a premium for them - Hughes and Hischier will make decent players into big goal scorers. Shero knows this better than anyone, so I'm not concerned.
  16. Glad to be of service. This thread has been a lot of fun - let's never do it again.
  17. Yeah, this is where I'm at. I'd even be content with 5 given how we slid down to 3rd worst. But 6th would be quite annoying - thankfully it's somewhat unlikely.
  18. Missed the game but it's just as well. 29: NJD -11 30: LAK -11 Los Angeles would 'win' any tiebreakers so they have to finish with more points than the Devils.
  19. No, this is bad news - the Devils 'winning' tiebreakers means they finish ahead. Buffalo has fewer regulation/OT wins and LA has a worse goal differential, so they would finish behind us in the event of a tie (provided the Devils don't, e.g. win a shootout and lose in regulation and Buffalo wins 2 games in regulation).
  20. Some hope in this miserable season. I've been following Dellow's work for 10 years now and he's got a sharp mind. It can't hurt to have people like this in the organization.
  21. Los Angeles pulls off the stunner in Arizona. 28: BUF -8 29: NJD -10 30: LAK -11 New Jersey presently loses tiebreakers to both Buffalo and Los Angeles, so if they end up tied with either (or both) in points they will lose on tiebreakers.
  22. With their win tonight, the Red Wings have clinched finishing ahead of the Devils. The highest the Devils can finish now is 28th.
  23. Bad night for the tank. Glad I didn't stay up to watch the 3rd of the LA-CGY game although I would've turned it off after the 4th goal. 27: BUF, DET -7 29: NJD -10 30: LAK -12 The Devils have now clinched finishing ahead of the Senators. Sportsclubstats gives the Devils a 72% chance of finishing in 29th.
  24. I turned off Boston-Detroit at 2nd intermission when Boston was ahead figuring they were 95% to win - imagine my surprise. 27: BUF, DET -7 29: NJD -11 30: LAK -11 31: OTT -16 Since Buffalo and Detroit play each other, there is almost no chance of finishing 27th anymore - Sportsclubstats lists it as a 3% possibility even if the Devils win out. They give a 49% chance for 29th, 43% chance for 30th. This is good.
  25. It won't quote on my phone but whatever - McLeod not being a big piece of the future is all the more reason why losing a lot this season was so important. First, it illustrates how important it is to pick high - yes, there's some excellent players selected after McLeod but there's also a lot of misses. Meanwhile most of the top 10 are already established NHLers. Second, the Devils need another impact player. They're going to pick no worse than 7th so the odds are much better of getting one.
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