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nmigliore

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Posts posted by nmigliore

  1. I probably like Toffoli more than most but I think if the Devils were bringing him back, they would've extended him. How often does a team trade a rental at the deadline and then resign him in July?

    I'd be surprised if BOTH Daws and Schmid are still in the org next season; both are RFAs and you need a spot for Poulter in Utica. I don't know much about Malek's profile as a prospect but he does have one of the best SV% in the top Finnish league this year.

    • Like 1
  2. 1 hour ago, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    Yeah guys like Jack and Nico are not the problem here.  Coaches who insist on not only on keeping Smith in the lineup but make sure to stick him with Nemec to boot…THAT’S a fvcking problem.

    I'm not surprised why Smith is playing ("veteran presence", "locker room guy", blah blah blah) but it's unfortunate Hatakka can't get an extended look in place of him. Smith is gone after this season while Hatakka is still just 23 and a pending RFA. The Devils have outscored teams 11-6 with him on the ice at five-on-five (and are in the plus for other metrics like expected goals and high danger shot attempts).

    • Like 5
  3. Jack has 8 points in his last 5 games, 19 points in his last 15 games. Overall, his PPG pace (1.25) is nearly identical to last season (1.27), granted his even strength production has been down. Still, pretty impressive when it's pretty clear he's playing banged up.

    • Like 4
  4. 1 hour ago, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    So the Devils play exactly one game over the next six days:  Friday @ Buffalo (3/29).  After that, they don't play again until Tues, vs the Pens (4/2).

    By then some of the current "games in hand" that teams have on the Devils will have evened out.

    As far as semi-catchable/in the mud with the Devils teams go:

    Flyers:   3/28 @ Montreal, 3/30 vs Blackhawks, 4/1 vs Isles

    Caps:  3/28 @ Leafs, 3/30 vs Bruins

    Red Wings:  3/28 @ Hurricanes, 3/30 @ Panthers, 4/1 @ Lightning

    Isles:  3/28 @ Panthers, 3/30 @ Lightning, 4/1 @ Flyers

    Not mentioning the Sabres or Pens because the way I see it, if the Devils fall behind either team at this point, they're probably screwed anyway.

    When 4/2 rolls around, here's who's playing who:

    Pens @ Devils

    Caps @ Sabres

    Isles @ Blackhawks

     

     

    Basically, we'll know for sure by 4/2 if the Devils have any chance at all, or are merely playing out the string.  

    Flyers have a cakewalk, but those other 3 have tough schedules.

    It's funny and frustrating that just when the Red Wings finally hit their expected regression wall, the Caps have taken their place as the terrible team getting all of the breaks. 

    • Like 1
  5. 44 minutes ago, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    And to give everyone an idea of exactly how much Allen is saving the Devils’ bacon…he’s put up an .833 QS% since coming here.  53% is about average, and that’s exactly where Allen sits for his career.

    Sadly, unless this team suddenly figures out how to stop killing their goalies this season, this sh!t is as unsustainable as it can possibly get.  

    This is absolutely not a defense of Lindy but the Devils have been a much worse five-on-five team by the underlying numbers since Green was put in charge.

    The Devils are generating less shot attempts per 60 minutes while also giving up more:

    image.png.023d078a9a2f1c4a8d4d2b54b16f390e.png

    In terms of shot quality, those attempts for are weaker while the attempts against are stronger:

     
    image.png.0cc61383756cef93be96143aa2486843.png
     
    Which, all told, has led to the Devils being underwater (sub-50%) in shot quantity and quality share under Green:
     
    image.png.ab4cb8891a3e957f08b5a9219bf3cf99.png
     
    By actual goal share, Green has been better, but that's being heavily driven by the new goalie tandem playing WELL over their heads. The Devils have a ridiculous .929 high-danger SV% under Green at five-on-five (next closest team is at .858, for comparison).
    • Vomiting 1
  6. 9 hours ago, Nicomo said:

    :lol:

    Funny store with this one... as I live on Central time, games typically start "early" for me (6pm, 6:30pm) so I'm normally having to watch on delay after the kiddo goes to bed. I started watching this one on delay pretty late via Hulu instead of the ESPN+ app but at some point midway thru the 2nd period my feed kept reverting back to the beginning of the period when I tried to skip thru a commercial break (and I couldn't skip forward to where I originally was). Ugh. By then, the actual game had been over so I figured I'd just switch over to the ESPN+ app and watch the actual replay from where I left off... but unfortunately the only replay feed available at the time was the Spanish broadcast. It was getting late so I'm like fvck it, we'll just go with that. Even though I could only comprehend about 20% of the commentary (probably less), it was fun as heck. I like Steve Levy but I'm 100% listening to the Spanish broadcast next time we get a Sean McDonough game. :lol:

    • Haha 4
  7. 1 hour ago, NJDfan1711 said:

    Yeah, it's been said before, but if the season ends with us on the outside looking in like it looks like it might, there will be plenty of games to point to on the schedule as missed opportunities. 

    With that said, if we can somehow win tomorrow, we have a few days off where things could get really interesting. 

    Flyers could lose to the Rags, Caps could lose to the Wings (in regulation), then on Thursday Isles could lose to the Panthers, Wings to the Canes, and caps to the Leafs. Is it asking a lot? Yes. But is any of that unreasonable or improbable? Not really, no.

    Would make Friday's game against Buffalo almost certainly do or die for both teams.

    Sounds like a parlay bet in the making! :D 

  8. 1 hour ago, Puckbuster said:

    Really?!

    Moneypuck has the Devils with an 8.5% chance.

    The Athletic has them even lower at 3%. As nice as that Isles game was, they really fvcked themselves by laying an egg vs Ottawa on Saturday. Ugh.

    • Like 4
  9. 14 hours ago, ButlerBulldog said:

    As I was one of those folks, I’ll happily acknowledge that Luke has regained his early-season form.  He looks much better.

    That is Luke's third highest GameScore of the season. Additionally, 3 of his best 9 games (as measured by GameScore) have come within the past week (@ DAL, vs PIT, vs WPG). His play has picked up in a big way of late. Love to see it.

    • Like 4
  10. 14 hours ago, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    Didn’t get any…prices just got waaaaay too crazy for my liking.  Only one lot went off for under $2k…DeSimone of course, at $1970 no less.  

    How the hell does Akira Schmid go for more than Jack, Bratt, Luke, Timo, Nemec...? Did the bidders stop paying attention to hockey after round 1 of last year's playoffs?

    With he and Daws as pending RFAs, I'd bet he's not even a Devil next season.

    • Like 1
  11. 3 minutes ago, 2ELIAS6 said:

    About a 9% chance to make the playoff, we’re still alive! Hammer down, win out, not over until it’s over damn it!

    It's very likely over but fvck it, I'm all in. I'm riding Jake "the motherfvcking Snake" Allen as my new avatar until we acquire a 1A goalie in the summer. 

    • Like 5
  12. 18 hours ago, ButlerBulldog said:

    The Devils should get penalized every single time Luke makes that drop-back pass to his brother.  If he does it thrice, he gets a match penalty.

    It's weird that nobody tries to disrupt this in the neutral zone. I guess it's too risky, sure, but at the same time you *know* it's going to happen every single time if you've studied any film on the Devils' PP1 leading into the game. 

    • Like 2
  13. One thing I loved about this Gomez interview is instilling what he learned from not just Lou but Pat Burns in his current gig. My favorite Devils team was that 2003 team (I was too young for 1995, and although I got into hockey and the Devils in 1997 as a 6 year old, I was still probably too young to truly appreciate the 2000 team). Even after nearly 15 years of his passing, Pat's legacy lives on in the players he coached and I love it. 

    • Like 2
  14. 12 hours ago, NJDevils1214 said:

    I mentioned recently the Friesen story about Stevens in 03 and that this team needs someone to hard nosed to hold them to a standard. This interview at around 21:36 just more about what a competitor Stevens was. This team is too soft.

    Gomez is the best to listen to. Totally the dude you can relax with downing beers at your home with the BBQ going while listening to his stories for hours on end. 

    • Like 1
  15. 1 minute ago, ButlerBulldog said:

    No idea what caused it, but I do wonder if the inability to convert scoring chances is part of the reason for the chronic overpassing during power plays.  Does the pull-down menu show trends for 5-on-5 versus power play action?

    Yep, here is 5v5 and 5v4:

    5v5

    image.thumb.png.e699ae7c569751d2b8df37d556c8c288.png

    5v4 (PP)

    image.thumb.png.629b9dfff1cfefbcdfaa54a1ae34c1f8.png

    • Like 1
  16. Maybe it's just brutal puck luck but I'd love to understand what the heck happened to this team's ability to finish on scoring chances since the calendar flipped to February. As much we like to blame the goaltending for losses, this is just as responsible of late. Yikes.

    image.thumb.png.55ad87a6333fb0b7bd32bcbdb27696f7.png

    EDIT: Sorry, meant for this to be in the 2023-24 Devils thread, not here... whatever. 

    • Like 3
  17. 16 minutes ago, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    The roster isn't currently built that way.  I don't wanna see our top players being ragdolled trying to be something they're not.

    But there's guys who absolutely need to up their physicality...starting with Bahl.  Dude, you're fvcking 6' 6"!  Why does it seem like you play like you are maybe a quarter of the time, if that?!

    And it's been discussed, but Fitz is gonna need to find a couple of guys who can play hockey AND be physical.  Devils need some more true all-arounders.  

    Yeah, I have no issue if the Devils want to get more physical but you need someone who can also actually play the game. MacDermid is a total waste of space and thank goodness he's a UFA after this season - dude plays like 4 minutes per game, takes a ridiculous amount of minor penalties given the amount of ice-time he gets, and can't even find a willing partner to scrap with since he's been here. What exactly is he doing? 

    • Like 2
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