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nmigliore

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Posts posted by nmigliore

  1. On 2/10/2024 at 3:36 PM, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    You think the Canucks are a fraud?  I haven’t paid a ton of attention to them (aside from noticing how gaudy their record and goal differential are), but they seem pretty stacked.  Of course we know teams like that don’t always get it done come playoff time (see last year’s Bruins), but what do you think they’re lacking?  I can’t say that I’m fully sold on Demko.

    "Fraud" is probably too harsh but I feel like they're playing well over their heads - they have the highest shooting% in the league and 3rd highest save%. Their underlying numbers suggest a team that is closer to above average, not favorites to win the President's Trophy. 

    • Like 1
  2. With Jack back, I'm not overly concerned about the PP. It might not have played out in the results last night but Jack ranks 1st in the league in on-ice goals for per hour among all players with at least 100 minutes on the PP this season. Jack is the straw the stirs the drink on the PP, just give it time.

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  3. The thing is, Fitz doesn't even have to sacrifice the house to make an upgrade; eerily similar to 2021-22, the Devils' goaltending has been so bad that even a below average goalie would be a substantial upgrade. But I agree that something needs to be done if they want to salvage this season, and time is running out.

     

    • Like 5
  4. Hopefully Bahl is the one who comes out and not Hatakka; I know it's a very small sample but the Devils have outscored the opposition 9-3 with him on the ice at five-on-five and he's looked good with Miller. He deserves a longer look, in my opinion. We already know who and what Bahl is.

    Bahl has also been such a drag on Nemec, that pairing needs to get broken up. 

    • Like 6
  5. Thanks, CR! I'll admit here I haven't followed the Mets, or baseball in general, for quite some time. I'm not sure how much I'll contribute to this thread going forward but I hope the OG crew is still around (CR = confirmed, Hasan?, 7?). Hope of all ya'll are well! 

    Let's Go Devils and Let's Go Mets! 

  6. It's not as sexy as Markstrom or Saros but I wouldn't mind seeing the Devils pick up Jake Allen or, even cheaper, Kaapo Kahkonen given where they sit in the standings. Allen has a positive goals saved above expected, cumulatively, over the last three years with Montreal (+5) and is under contract thru next season. Kahkonen is a rental who was awful last year but has rebounded this year (+4). Maybe he bombs coming over here, because goalies are voodoo and the Devils seem to have no goalie luck (besides last year), but can't imagine he'd cost much. Vitek looked solid against the Avs, and hopefully it continues, but hard to trust him considering his to-date performance.

    • Like 3
  7. I don't know why it shocked me but Holtz leads the Devils in five-on-five points per 60 minutes (I would've guessed Jack or Bratt). Holtz isn't good at driving play (he has bottom-3 xGF% and CF% underlying's among Devils' forwards) but pair him with linemates who can (Jack, Bratt, Nico, etc.) and we might get cooking there... Holtz's most common linemates have been Mercer and Tierney for goodness sake. Please finally free this man, Lindy!

    Haven't checked in here in awhile, hope my ol' fam is well... Let's Go Devils.

    • Like 2
    • EvilHeart 2
  8. I'm sure I'm in the minority here but I don't think the Cup winner should be considered tainted or tarnished. The season itself is what, 85% or 86% complete by most teams? If a winner somehow comes from a team that traditionally wouldn't have made it, they'll have to win more than 16 playoff games to do so. The things I don't like about this proposed format is I feel like 24 teams is 3 or 4 too many and I especially think the seeding for who plays who out of the play-in round is weird (eg: #1 seed playing winner of #8 vs #9; in my opinion, should be the lowest advancing seed to face #1). 

    According to Hockey Reference, these are the playoff odds (when season paused) of the 8 extra teams sneaking in:

    CBJ: 33.6% 
    FLA: 37.9%
    NYR: 21.8%
    MTL: 0.1% 

    WPG: 57%
    MIN: 48.9%
    ARI: 13%
    CHI: 2.5%

    I think the bone to pick here is with the bottom two in each conference (NYR, MTL, ARI and CHI). MTL and CHI getting in looks especially dumb.

  9. With this proposed 24-team playoff format, has there been any word on the implications of conditional draft picks?

    If the Coyotes beat the Preds in what may be some kind of best-of-5 play-in series, does that count as winning a playoff round and thus turning the 2021 3rd rounder into a 2nd?

    Vancouver makes the cut here, does that technically mean they are in the playoffs and thus we get their 2020 1st rounder?

    Would think the answer to these would be "yes" but who knows, maybe the league will decide these aforementioned playoff parameters only kick in once we reach the traditional round of 16 teams?

    • Like 1
  10. 25 minutes ago, eldon said:

    That and the 10-4 game vs. Caps from 88 playoffs. Besides scoring, had tons of fights and scraps. Would want an extra 30 minutes added. 

    I've been reading Stan Fischler's Devils Over The Decades series on the Devils website and a lot of the recent chapters have been about the 1988 team. When you read about some of these games, it makes you want to watch them, especially when they were well before your time (I was born in 1991 and didn't become interesting in Devils/hockey until 1998). Would love to see some of these big games (regular season and playoff), especially this one referenced vs the Rangers featuring a Pat Verbeek penalty shot: https://www.nhl.com/devils/news/devils-over-the-decades-ch-15---showdown-with-the-rangers/c-313503838?tid=277567796 

    Hell, I would settle even for just the Blackhawks finale but all I could find is highlights via YouTube.

  11. 21 minutes ago, Colorado Rockies 1976 said:

    To be clear, I'm not anti-advanced stats.  Just not basing everything I see heavily on them (not saying that you are).

    Hughes definitely had some bad luck this season...lots of good passes that were wasted by others as well.  Some are already down on him, but I'm definitely nowhere near feeling that way about him.  Though he does need serious seasoning, he sounds like he relishes the challenge.  

    No worries, just messing around - it's been so long since I have teased you. :P

    I think it's silly to be down on him - the team as a whole stunk but more specific to Hughes there's clear evidence of bad shooting luck (to some degree) and I don't think the fact he was literally the youngest player in the NHL last season should be overlooked.

    • Like 1
  12. 10 hours ago, Nicomo said:

    I was reading an article on The Athletic about Jack, and apparently him and his brothers are all working out together with a bunch of equipment they got from the USNDT. I guess they live really close to the main training facility in Michigan. Jack mentioned the big thing he wants to improve is his shot, and becoming more of a scoring threat. Which I liked hearing. The kid can damn sure make great passes, if he can strengthen his shot a bit it will help a lot. 

    That's an interesting note since, by the numbers (look away, CR!), Hughes had the largest negative variance in goals to expected goals in 5v5 play which could be due to bad luck and/or poor finishing/shooting skill. 

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  13. 39 minutes ago, Satans Hockey said:

    I just had commented this in the devils thread but didn't see this post first, am I missing where the section is for classic games? The old nhl vault use to let you click on any team and see classic games for that team. All I see is a Carolina-Devils game from 09 and I'd rather smash my face into a wall for 3 hours than watch anything from that series ever again. What I just posted in the devils thread... 

     

    "I wonder why the nhl.tv doesn't have a real classic games section, I've been watching some old games that MSG+ has been showing but I hate that they cut out portions of the games. 

    Browsing the nhl.tv app they have some classic things but the vast majority are shortened games too and barely any Devils stuff. 

    I know they use to have the nhl vault that had a section for Devils games but I don't know why they don't have anything like that anymore, especially given the current situation."

    On mobile it's Pause Binge > Classic Games. It's honestly not much, though. I think you're looking in the right area because the Canes/Devs game is listed there, but there's about 7 or 8 other classic games if you scroll left or right. I will say some of them are funky - the Leafs/Kings Game 6 of '93 is more like bits and pieces of Games 5 and 6, not one full game; God knows why they don't have Game 7 but I found it later on YouTube. And when I clicked one of the Wings/Caps '98 games, the camera angle was awful. 

    Since posting this I found a YT channel of someone called Serg72 and he has tons of games uploaded there. Without looking right now I think the NHL has a channel on YT for classic games (or it's a playlist on the actual NHL one).

    • Like 1
  14. 21 minutes ago, NJDfan1711 said:

    Devils/Sabres from April 1994 with Hasek's 70-save performance on NHL Network in 10 minutes.  

    Not necessarily via NHLN but the NHL app, I've enjoyed watching some classic games lately. For one, it's so weird watching 1990s hockey compared to the modern era; the game feels so much slower, goalies look SO small in net and the amount of hooking/grabbing/tackling/whatever and getting away with it is incredible... but it brings me back to my childhood. Just recently watched Mario destroying the Rangers (he made it look so effortless) and the Kings/Leafs playoff series from 1993 (I don't know how nor why but I had a VHS tape of the 1992-93 Leafs season that I must've watched 100 times as a kid). 

    • Like 2
  15. Philly will definitely be more competitive this season; I don't think they're quite good enough to sneak into the WC discussion, but I agree with the idea that they could flirt with .500. To me, the big battle in the NL will revolve around the 2nd WC spot. The Dodgers, Cubs, and Nats are in a tier above everyone; I would say the Cardinals are alone in a tier below that trio and the WC favorites*; after that... the Giants, D-Backs, Mets, Rockies, and Brewers all profile similarly - something between 81 and 86 wins. 

    * - The Cardinals are very easy to overlook. They don't really have much star power (only four players project to be worth => 3 WAR and only one => 4 WAR), but they're just very solid all over. Every starting position player and rotation spot looks at least average to above average for them, and their bullpen looks good too.

  16. Yeah, even in those pretty good 2008 and 2010 seasons, Pelf had some good fortune going his way:

    2008: 89 ERA-, 106 xFIP-

    2010: 94 ERA-, 108 xFIP-

    It's not like he was "bad" in those years by the advanced metrics, but they did see him more as a slightly below league average starter whereas by ERA he looked above average.

    I think one season that's so easy to forget is 2012; it was only 3 starts, but I remember Big Pelf looking like a changed man in the spring, he came out of the gate that season throwing harder, and (again - super small sample size alert) the underlying numbers in those 3 starts were pretty damn good. Would things have gone differently for him had he not gotten hurt? Probably not, but you never know.

    Also, Pelf retiring is starting to make ME feel old. It feels like yesterday he was making his MLB debut.. wow.

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