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CommonDreads

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Everything posted by CommonDreads

  1. I do think Bahl is a much better skater than the four guys you mentioned, his hands are something that has gotten better since his draft year, so those aspects don't worry as much. The thing that's going to be a transition for Bahl is if his smarts and hockey sense can keep up when the pace of play quickens a bit at the NHL level. The skating and puck skills don't worry a ton and his size is obviously a huge advantage, but it's just going to be all about how well he can read and anticipate play at the pro level. My hope for him is he provides an impact on our blue line the way Brandon Carlo does for Boston, I think they're fairly similar players in style with Bahl being a bit bigger.
  2. I'm really pulling for them to miss. If we walk away from this 1st Round with a haul that looks something like Jamie Drysdale at 4th and Noel Gunler around 13th, that would be absolutely massive. EDIT: Also want to throw out the possibility of potentially nabbing Yaroslav Askarov with that second 1st Rounder. I'd prefer more skater help, but Askarov is going to be an elite goalie. I really like Mac, but Askarov would be a long term solution. I like Mac a lot, but I'm a little uneasy pinning our full future in net on just him.
  3. He's been shooting up the boards over the past couple months; in December he was slated in the 2nd Round by a lot people but now he's starting to claw his way closer toward the teens. If the Coyotes pick ends up in the 16-20 range, I'd be interested in Quinn there. My last ranking had him at 24th, but he's already climbed up from there for me in the lone month since I've done my last round of rankings.
  4. There's some people really sleeping on this kid, but I think he'd be an easy top 5 in other years. He's my #7 at the moment, some are lower on him because they don't see elite skill or skating but he might be the smartest player in the Draft. He's one of the best playmakers available and has legitimate future Selke potential. I think his puck skills are still quite good and he can make plays, I'd say his skill level is high-end but not quite elite. His Draft Year production rate would be the 6th highest coming out of the Finnish Liiga in the last 20 years: 1. Mikael Grunlund - 0.93 2. Aleksander Barkov - 0.91 3. Kaapo Kakko - 0.84 4. Patrik Laine - 0.72 5. Teuvo Teravainen - 0.70 6. Anton Lundell - 0.68 7. Artturi Lehkonen - 0.67 8. Jesse Puljujarvi - 0.56 9. Jesperi Kotkaniemi - 0.51 10. Mikko Rantanen - 0.50
  5. He's frickin' wicked is what he is, a little on the older side of this draft but he's leading the OHL in goals at the moment with 44 in 49 games. Also plays on Ottawa with Bahl, Clarke, Hoelscher, and Okhotyuk, I'll have an article coming out on him in the very near future. Not sure if I want him on the Devils more because he's awesome, or because we could run a line combo of Quinn - Hughes in the top 6
  6. I can't agree at all with Byfield starting to drop in some rankings, mostly because I believe it's 95% tied to his showing at the World Juniors (where I thought he was fine, just snake bitten) and the fact he didn't light up the Top Prospect game, which is after all, just one game. As you mentioned, Byfield is essentially a year younger than Lafreniere; if he were born a month later he would have been in next year's draft. In that sense, if people want to look at the World Juniors, his tournament this year is more comparable to Lafreniere's tournament from last year, since that's when they were the same age (Lafreniere had only 1 point in last year's tournament as well). I can't agree with him not stepping up in big games, because he completely carries his team on Sudbury on his back and steps up when that team needs him, without Byfield that team would be completely sunk and instead they're leading their division. He actually came up in the clutch in a game against Barrie fairly recently, who's one of the teams that's chasing the Wolves for the top of the Central Division. Byfield got both the tying goal in the 3rd period and the OT winner, both of which were beauties: Bottom line, the way I see Byfield is he's a still very green 17-year-old kid who's already a 6'4" monster who's dominating kids sometimes 3 years older than him in the OHL on a nightly basis (32 goals, 74 points in 40 games is his tally to this point). He's big, fast, agile, skilled, competitive; he really is the full package, I don't see any holes in his game.
  7. If Gallant is interested in coming here, hire him tonight. I think you could easily win the argument that he's at the very least a Top 5 coach in the league. He's going to have a new job by the end of the month, I can feel it.
  8. Put out my newest rankings this afternoon, take a look if you're so inclined! Lafreniere, Byfield, and Raymond are still my top 3, with Stützle and Rossi squeezing their way into the Top 5. The 1st Round was super hard for me to whittle down, which will also be relevant for us with at least two 1st Rounders coming up. My ideal scenario is obviously landing Lafreniere at the top and then someone like Jeremie Poirier or Emil Andrae with the Yotes pick.
  9. Corey Pronman did an article on Bahl, Merkley, and Schnarr over on The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/1465735/
  10. While I understand what you're saying, which is that the draft slot doesn't mean anything if we don't yield anything out of it, but just pointing out the Wild making a mediocre pick doesn't acknowledge the strength of players that were available around that slot. For context of what we could get out of that slot, I'd prefer to look at previous drafts in tiers, and these were the players that were selected right around Eriksson Ek in 2015: 17. WPG - Kyle Connor 18. OTT - Thomas Chabot 19. DET - Yevgeni Svechnikov 20. MIN - Joel Eriksson Ek 21. OTT - Colin White 22. WSH - Ilya Samsonov 23. VAN - Brock Boeser 24. PHI - Travis Konecny Just food for thought, is all. It's entirely fair to say the pick doesn't mean anything if we don't make good on it, but all I'm saying is that tier of the draft should have some very strong players.
  11. Bahl is obviously the most intriguing of the three prospects coming back. 6'6", 230 lb left shot defenseman that's going to be playing with Ty Smith on Team Canada at the World Juniors in a couple weeks, and this year I think he's taken a significant step in his two-way game. Primarily, he's still a physical shutdown defenseman and I think he likely projects as a #4 defenseman who can play on our top PK unit at his ceiling, but he also has some decent mobility and hands for a player his size. Tonight, I was already planning on watching a 67's game in preparation for an article on Marco Rossi I'm working on, and Bahl made this excellent play for a goal in the game I was watching. It's a good illustration of some of the upside he can have beyond just being your prototypical hulking defenseman, which is encouraging. Not a high-end guy, but enough there to feel good about. Nate Schnarr is an interesting pick up. 6'3" center who was a top player for the Storm last year (34G, 102PTS in 65GP) but has taken some time to adjust in the AHL, which should be expected for a 20 year old coming out of junior. I'm not sure he's more than a 3rd line center at his ceiling, but there's enough there to think he could maybe have a place on a PP2 in the future if he pans out right. Merkley is someone I liked quite a bit in 2015 (was actually who I wanted the Devils to grab in 2015 in the 2nd round before the Yotes grabbed him at the end of Round 1), but he's taken some time now to find his footing at the AHL and has regressed a little since his rookie AHL season. I think there's still something there to the point where we should give him a chance to stick in our middle six for the rest of the season. Once upon a time, he projected nicely as a potential top six forward, so hopefully a change of scenery and a bigger opportunity with the Devils helps him realize some of that upside. EDIT: More than anything, we shouldn't be looking at Kevin Bahl as the centerpiece of this trade - he's not. The centerpiece was getting that 2020 1st Round pick; I've been beating the drum that this is the best draft since either 2015 or 2003, and if this pick ends up in the middle of the 1st round or earlier, we're going to walk away with two foundational pieces to build around. A lot of people were clamoring for Soderstrom from the Coyotes, but I feel fairly confident in saying that whoever we get with this 1st Round pick is going to be better than Soderstrom. If for arguments sake we end up with Lucas Raymond and Jeremie Poirier with our two 1st Rounders this year, I think people are going to look at our long term outlook with much, much more optimism than what is being thrown around right now, those would be two massive additions for our club.
  12. I think if we were to trade Palmieri he could net us a 1st, a 30 goal scorer with term left on his deal isn't easy to find, but I'm also not really in favor of trading Palms. If we're not able to re-sign Vatanen, I think he can fetch us at least a 2nd+. Unless I'm forgetting someone, he's going to be the best RHD on the rental market, and I'm not counting Pietrangelo in that since I doubt the Blues deal him. Greene is probably a 3rd.
  13. My newest article for DraftGeek.ca came out last night, so take a look if you're so inclined! https://www.draftgeek.ca/2019/12/10/2020-prospect-profile-cole-perfetti/ If the Devils ended up with around the 6th Overall pick, I think Perfetti is someone we should become at least familiar with. He's my #9 at the moment, so there's some guys that I would like a little more at that spot, but he's a really high-end goal scorer and offensive dual threat. If Perfetti was who we got in June, he would be pretty lethal on Jack's wing with the shot that he has.
  14. Boqvist - B- (He's been good when he's been in the lineup, hopefully here's there to stay now with Hynes gone) Coleman - A (I don't know what more you could ask from this guy, he's a gamer) Hayden - C- (Meh, what I expected) Hischier - B- (Been relatively fine, but I wanted a bigger step this year. Still time for him to do that) Hughes - B (After the first 2 or 3 weeks, I think he's been consistently one of our best players every night. He's special.) Rooney - C- (Meh) Zacha - C+ (He cooled after what looked like a really nice start, teetered on giving him a B-) Zajac - C+ (He's been fine, his line has been relatively stable all season but you'd like a little more production) Seney - C (Fine) Bratt - B (I think he's been awesome, there's no reason why this guy should have ever been out of the lineup) Gusev - B (He's been one of our best players the past month, you can tell this guy just need time to adapt to NA) Hall - B (Production has been fine, but his advanced metrics are atrocious, he's been the worst on the team for both GAR and WAR metrics, he's been bad in that regard) Wood - C (Fine for what I expect at this point) Palmieri - B (Still scores goals, just in line with what I expect) Simmonds - B (Dude has been snakebitten for much of the season, but he's elevated every line he's been put on, think he's been real good) Butcher - C- (Almost dropped into the D range, he's been pretty disappointing but has had to lug around some real sh!t recently on his pair) Carrick - C (Has barely played) Greene - C+ (He's been fine, actually a bit above my expectations) Mueller - F (Fire him into the sun, he sucks) Severson - C- (Very disappointing, he needs to be better) Subban - C (Advanced numbers have been good and he's had some really good games, but he was expected to be our top PP QB and has had some real bone headed turnovers/pinches) Tennyson - F (Fvck no) Vatanen - B+ (He's been super steady and has stabilized our top PP a bit, hope we can find a way to extend him) Blackwood - C+ (He's had some real rough games but he's been solid enough I think) Domingue - D- (Pretty fvcking bad, was solid against Detroit and that's it) Schneider - F (This is so depressing)
  15. Those are the nicest pads a Devils goalie has had in awhile, IMO. Wish more of our goalies used black and red pads instead of going with mostly white, those are going to look especially sharp with our home unis.
  16. McElhinney is signed for $150k more per year for the same amount of years, so it really did come down to more of an ability thing. Worth pointing out, though, Domingue was still counting towards the cap by about $225k even though he was in the AHL, so it was worth it for Tampa to move him to get that small amount of cash off their cap.
  17. Curtis McElhinney, who's their current backup, makes more than Domingue, so the cap prudent move would have been to keep Domingue as their backup to save a tiny bit of cap space. Really what it comes down to is Tampa saw McElhinney as a more reliable option (which they're probably right about) and chose to spend a little more so they could find Vasy some more rest throughout the season. I do think Domingue is a somewhat capable NHL backup, but Tampa's decision to get a new backup was more ability based rather than cap based.
  18. Domingue isn't great, but he's likely better than our other recent options, aside from Blackwood. Since the start of last season, there have been 71 goalies that have played in at least 10 games. Cory ranks 65th in Goals Saved Against Expected with a -14.85, Kinkaid is 69th with a -24.82. Louis Domingue in that statistic ranks 39th with a -1.46, which still isn't great but makes him a roughly average backup goaltender in that time frame, he's certainly a better option than Schneider at this point (and, by a lot, Kinkaid as well). For the record, Blackwood is 27th with a +3.36, which I'd say is pretty good considering his nightmarish start to the season before this latest stretch. https://www.naturalstattrick.com/playerteams.php?fromseason=20182019&thruseason=20192020&stype=2&sit=all&score=all&stdoi=g&rate=n&team=ALL&pos=S&loc=B&toi=600&gpfilt=none&fd=&td=&tgp=410&lines=single&draftteam=ALL
  19. With how this team is playing, I'm going to just start this thread since draft stuff always cheers me up. This year I'm going to have my draft coverage stepped up a bit, as now I'm writing for DraftGeek.ca as one of their contributing prospect writers. I'll be doing monthly prospect reports, which I'll link here if you're interested. My most recent article is one Antonio Stranges; at this point he's slated to go somewhere between 10-25. 2020 Prospect Profile: Hendrix Lapierre (September 5th) 2020 Prospect Profile: Tim Stützle (October 8th) 2020 Prospect Profile: Antonio Stranges (November 12th) 2020 Prospect Profile: Cole Perfetti (December 12th) Rising Stars: Jack Quinn (February 21st) Furthermore, you can find my most recent rankings on my Twitter here: Omitted from that list that would have on there now, since that was posted about a month ago: Ben Schoen, Tyson Foerster, and Sergei Safin-Tregubov, to name a few. Alexis Lafreniere is obviously the top prize, with Quinton Byfield as a clear cut #2 at the moment. In some order, Lucas Raymond, Alexander Holtz, Anton Lundell, Tim Stutzle, Jamie Drysdale, and Cole Perfetti typically make up the next tier on most people's list. Lafreniere scored a filthy goal the other night against Gatineau, if you want a little taste of how good this kid is. Currently has 13 goals and 45 points in just 20 games so far this year in the Q. Other miscellaneous things, here's a thread I did back in July on Alexander Nikishin, who's a lot of fun and packed with talent. Looks like a late-1st/2nd rounder at the moment based on most scout's consensus, but I really love the kid: If this team doesn't improve, take some solace in this: this is a very, very good year to be bad, as the early outlooks seem to indicate this could be the best draft class since either 2003 or 2015. If this team finishes with a top 5 pick, I'm pretty confident that whoever we select there can roughly replace Hall's production within a couple years.
  20. This is what you get when you decide to spend a quarter of the game in the penalty box.
  21. Christ, stay out of the fvcking box
  22. God forbid they hold a fvcking lead. Fvck this season.
  23. We’re at 2-5-3, Hynes needs to grow a fvcking pair and challenge that.
  24. This I think is important, in the past I've been on the "If you're gonna miss the playoffs, do it all the way" train, but we already have our foundational pieces in Nico and Hughes with guys like Zacha and Bratt looking like they could be good surrounding pieces. It's time for these guys to learn how to win. It also doesn't hurt that this year's draft is remarkably deep. I think you'll be able to get a real impact piece all the way down at 15th Overall.
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