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Stanley Cup Odds for Next Season


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http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nhl-puck-daddy/chicago-blackhawks--boston-bruins-favored-to-win-2015-stanley-cup-142328692.html

 

Chicago Blackhawks 15/2

 

Boston Bruins 8/1

 

Pittsburgh Penguins 9/1

 

Los Angeles Kings 10/1

 

St. Louis Blues 10/1

 

Anaheim Ducks 14/1

 

San Jose Sharks 14/1

 

Colorado Avalanche 18/1

 

Minnesota Wild 18/1

 

New York Rangers 18/1

 

Detroit Red Wings 22/1

 

Montreal Canadiens 25/1

 

Tampa Bay Lightning 25/1

 

Vancouver Canucks 25/1

 

Philadelphia Flyers 28/1

 

Dallas Stars 33/1

 

Toronto Maple Leafs 33/1

 

Washington Capitals 33/1

 

Columbus Blue Jackets 40/1

 

New Jersey Devils 40/1

 

Carolina Hurricanes 50/1

 

Edmonton Oilers 50/1

 

Ottawa Senators 50/1

 

Phoenix Coyotes 50/1

 

Winnipeg Jets 50/1

 

Calgary Flames 66/1

 

Florida Panthers 66/1

 

Nashville Predators 66/1

 

New York Islanders 66/1

 

Buffalo Sabres 75/1

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The Predators seem a bit low for a team that finished 19th in the league in points. Maybe they got a Western Conference downgrade? But this would still not explain the Oilers and Jets were given better odds than them - and the Flames the same odds. The Canucks I kind of get.

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The Predators seem a bit low for a team that finished 19th in the league in points. Maybe they got a Western Conference downgrade? But this would still not explain the Oilers and Jets were given better odds than them - and the Flames the same odds. The Canucks I kind of get.

 

Vegas doesn't care who actually has the best chance to win, but rather what they expect people to bet, and then they act accordingly. Canadian teams will always have higher future odds than they deserve because fans of those teams will drop a hail mary bet on them. The Penguins will always be higher than they should because they are a public team and no shock the Blackhawks and Bruins are 1-2 as favourites due to their giant followings.

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Vegas doesn't care who actually has the best chance to win, but rather what they expect people to bet, and then they act accordingly. Canadian teams will always have higher future odds than they deserve because fans of those teams will drop a hail mary bet on them. The Penguins will always be higher than they should because they are a public team and no shock the Blackhawks and Bruins are 1-2 as favourites due to their giant followings.

Interesting, I don't know much about betting so thanks for that. The one thing I would still say though is that all the Canadian teams are 12th or worst in odds. They are just higher than some better teams. Clearly strength of team means something, or why would the Blues be so high?

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Interesting, I don't know much about betting so thanks for that. The one thing I would still say though is that all the Canadian teams are 12th or worst in odds. They are just higher than some better teams. Clearly strength of team means something, or why would the Blues be so high?

 

Of course, strength means a lot, but it's a balancing act by Vegas. Someone can correct me if I am wrong. They want odds that are somewhat fair and entice gamblers. You don't want to jack the Leafs odds up so high that no one would bet on them, but you also don't want to give a team with such a large fan base fair odds either. The average person would probably take the Blues and Kings over the Penguins, but because of Crosby and Malkin, Pitt is a fairly public team, so they have better odds because more people would throw some cash on them.

 

I don't think Vegas worries too much about NHL futures. The action must be miniscule compared to other sports.

Edited by devilsrule33
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Of course, strength means a lot, but it's a balancing act by Vegas. Someone can correct me if I am wrong. They want odds that are somewhat fair and entice gamblers. You don't want to jack the Leafs odds up so high that no one would bet on them, but you also don't want to give a team with such a large fan base fair odds either. The average person would probably take the Blues and Kings over the Penguins, but because of Crosby and Malkin, Pitt is a fairly public team, so they have better odds because more people would throw some cash on them.

 

I don't think Vegas worries too much about NHL futures. The action must be miniscule compared to other sports.

 

No, this is right, the bets are scaled a bit in anticipation of action on the most popular teams.  Most futures bets you can't take the other side of them.  So I can't bet $15 against $2 that the Blackhawks will win the Stanley Cup.  This gives the casino no reason to offer a fair line - with a normal bet, if the line is 'wrong', the market will adjust it.  Regardless, this menas you can find some real values as a result, especially on teams that don't attract much action.  50-1 on the Devils in the 2011 offseason was insane - they should've been half that.

Edited by Triumph
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For a gambling noob, where do you place such bets? I'm assuming online is illegal/unverified. Atlantic City?

Vegas. Only place sports gambling is legal, AFAIK. NJ and Delaware have been trying to get it legalized, but no dice as of yet. I know all of the pro sports leagues either sued or were threatening to sue over it. Edited by MadDog2020
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Vegas. Only place sports gambling is legal, AFAIK. NJ and Delaware have been trying to get it legalized, but no dice as of yet. I know all of the pro sports leagues either sued or were threatening to sue over it.

So if I want to make a bet, I'd have to go to Vegas. Jeez that's inconvenient

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This is nuts... They should wait the end of the offseason before making odds. So much thing could change...

 

Its kind of the point. They're futures bets. They set odds this far in advance and then you may have gotten a steal if you bet a longshot who ends up a year from now winning.

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