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What's Left


Derek21

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Okay, I am going to try this and see how it goes.

Let's take the East:

*1.Ottawa 48-16-7 103 Pts 11 GR

*2.Carolina 47-20-6 100 9

3.Rangers 41-20-12 94 9

4.Flyers 40-22-10 90 10

5.Sabres 45-21-6 96 10

Those teams are pretty safe when it comes to making it. The *'d ones already clinched. Rangers, Sabres and Flyers are closing in.

The real race is for the last three spots. A closer look:

6.Tampa Bay 38-29-5 81 10 Highest total possible: 101 (if they win out)

7.New Jersey 36-27-9 81 10 Highest total possible: 101

8.Montreal 36-27-9 81 10 Highest total possible: 101

Note: The Devils are 7th due to leading Habs 2-0 in season series with 2 left at Montreal.

Remaining teams still alive:

9.Atlanta 35-30-6 76 11 Highest total possible: 98

10.Florida 33-30-9 75 10 Highest total possible: 95

11.Toronto 34-32-6 74 10 Highest total possible: 94

12.Islanders 33-34-3 71 10 Highest total possible: 91

13.Bruins 28-33-13 69 9 Highest total possible: 87

To figure out Magic numbers, one must consider the head-to-head match-ups. The Thrashers, Leafs and Islanders all took the season series from the Devils. In the event they wound up tied, the first tiebreaker is wins, then head-to-head. If they are tied in wins, then it goes to season series.

Eliminated:

14.Capitals 25-38-9 59 10 Can only reach: 79

15.Penguins 18-42-12 48 10 Can only reach: 68

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No problem! ;)

Basically, if Tampa, Devils or Habs pickup 18 more points, that would be more than Atlanta could get and assure them of a playoff spot.

Magic number is determined by a combination of wins and closest competitors' losses.

In other words, if the Devils defeat Buffalo tomorrow and Atlanta loses their game, their Magic Number would be 14.

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No problem! ;)

Basically, if Tampa, Devils or Habs pickup 18 more points, that would be more than Atlanta could get and assure them of a playoff spot.

Magic number is determined by a combination of wins and closest competitors' losses.

In other words, if the Devils defeat Buffalo tomorrow and Atlanta loses their game, their Magic Number would be 14.

won't atlanta's 3 meetings with tampa add into this combination. both cannot get 6 points from these games and this should lower the magic number somewhat.. right?

Edited by Swede
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won't atlanta's 3 meetings with tampa add into this combination. both cannot get 6 points from these games and this should lower the magic number somewhat.. right?

At this point, either team can still get the total six points, since the games have not been played, either outcome is possible. It's about what maximum is possible at any point in time. It's like Schroediger's cat...many outcomes are possible because nothing has actually happened yet and we can't see into the future to know the outcome. So, we assign each team the maximum possible and then take off points where necessary as games are played.

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Revised:

Okay, I am going to try this and see how it goes.

Let's take the East:

*1.Ottawa 49-16-7 105 Pts 10 GR

*2.Carolina 47-20-6 100 9

3.Rangers 41-21-12 94 8

4.Flyers 40-22-10 90 10

5.Sabres 45-22-6 96 9

Those teams are pretty safe when it comes to making it. The *'d ones already clinched. Rangers, Sabres and Flyers are closing in.

The real race is for the last three spots. A closer look:

6.Tampa Bay 39-29-5 81 9 Highest total possible: 101 (if they win out)

7.New Jersey 37-27-9 81 9 Highest total possible: 101

8.Montreal 37-27-9 81 9 Highest total possible: 101

Note: The Devils are 7th due to leading Habs 2-0 in season series with 2 left at Montreal.

Remaining teams still alive:

9.Atlanta 35-30-6 76 10 Highest total possible: 96

10.Florida 33-30-9 75 10 Highest total possible: 95

11.Toronto 34-32-6 74 10 Highest total possible: 94

12.Islanders 33-34-3 71 10 Highest total possible: 91

13.Bruins 28-33-13 69 9 Highest total possible: 87

To figure out Magic numbers, one must consider the head-to-head match-ups. The Thrashers, Leafs and Islanders all took the season series from the Devils. In the event they wound up tied, the first tiebreaker is wins, then head-to-head. If they are tied in wins, then it goes to season series.

Eliminated:

14.Capitals 25-38-10 60 9 Can only reach: 78

15.Penguins 18-42-12 48 10 Can only reach: 68

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Are the Devils really in seventh though? They have won the series against both Tampa(i think) and so far against Montreal, but what if they had lost to Tampa. Than you would have NJ ahead on MON but behind TAM. But what if MON won the series with TAM, than they should be ahead of TAM and ahead of NJ by default. It would create some kind of crazy standing paradox. They would have to have a shootout to decide who's ahead of who :P Seriously though, does anybody know what the tie breaker is if there is a three team tie?

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Are the Devils really in seventh though? They have won the series against both Tampa(i think) and so far against Montreal, but what if they had lost to Tampa. Than you would have NJ ahead on MON but behind TAM. But what if MON won the series with TAM, than they should be ahead of TAM and ahead of NJ by default. It would create some kind of crazy standing paradox. They would have to have a shootout to decide who's ahead of who :P Seriously though, does anybody know what the tie breaker is if there is a three team tie?

1. # Wins

2. Season Series

3. Goal differential

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Updated before tonight:

* clinched

Magic Number

*1.Sens 105

*2.Carolina 102

3.Rangers 94 3

4.Sabres 96 1

5.Flyers 90 7

6.Devils 85 12

7.Lightning 83 14

8.Canadiens 83 14

________________________________________

9.Atlanta 76

10.Florida 75

Edited by Derek21
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4.Sabres 96 1

Ina weird way, I hope the Sabres do NOT get this point so that incompentent POS GM Regier can get the hell out of town and get a real Gm who understands the concept of making move(s) at the deadline to help a team that is in the hunt at the time of the deadline

Regier makes me want to :puke::puke::puke:

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Ina weird way, I hope the Sabres do NOT get this point so that incompentent POS GM Regier can get the hell out of town and get a real Gm who understands the concept of making move(s) at the deadline to help a team that is in the hunt at the time of the deadline

Regier makes me want to :puke::puke::puke:

How can you say that? If anything Regier will probably get an extension. He has put together a really young, fast and talented team.

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Ina weird way, I hope the Sabres do NOT get this point so that incompentent POS GM Regier can get the hell out of town and get a real Gm who understands the concept of making move(s) at the deadline to help a team that is in the hunt at the time of the deadline

Regier makes me want to :puke::puke::puke:

Or maybe sign up Regier to a multi-year deal because he understands that the Sabres never should've been this good anyway and are a young team on the rise and that within the salary cap system a team has to be as frugal as possible. Acquiring Keith Carney at the deadline isn't going to change the fact that this team is probably one and done - next season Kotalik, Vanek, Miller and Afinogenov will all be better players, Regier will move a forward for a defenseman early, and the team will probably finish 5th again but will have a much better shot at winning a few playoff rounds.

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